{"id":170810,"date":"2020-05-20T07:50:36","date_gmt":"2020-05-20T11:50:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=170810"},"modified":"2020-05-20T07:37:40","modified_gmt":"2020-05-20T11:37:40","slug":"robusta-analysis-drought-may-damage-coffee-crops","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/05\/robusta-analysis-drought-may-damage-coffee-crops\/","title":{"rendered":"ROBUSTA Analysis: Drought may damage coffee crops"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3849513069\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 20, 2020<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Drought may damage coffee crops<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">Somar Meteorologia agency reported the rainfall in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais last week was only 57% of its historical average. This state is the main producer of arabica coffee. The emerging strengthening of the Brazilian real against the United States dollar may further contribute to a possible increase in coffee prices. The Vietnamese National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting reported rainfall in Central Highlands, the country&#8217;s main region for growing Robusta coffee, has 30% less rainfall than normal. Despite the pandemic of coronavirus, coffee exports from Vietnam in January-April 2020 increased by 4.5%. American marketing company IRI reported arabica coffee sales in the US in April fell by 20%. It can be assumed that amid rising unemployment due to quarantine caused by Covid-19, part of consumer demand \u201cflows\u201d from one sort of coffee to another. 1 ton of arabica now costs $ 2,350, while Robusta &#8211; $ 1,190, which is much cheaper. Note also that $ 1100 is the minimum for Robusta since it began being traded in 2009.<\/p>\n<table class=\"analys_tbl\" style=\"padding: 5px 0; border: 1px solid #698da6; border-collapse: collapse;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"2\" align=\"center\">\n<thead id=\"datapart\">\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>VALUE<\/th>\n<th>Signal<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">RSI<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Neutral<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">MACD<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">MA(200)<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Neutral<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Fractals<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Neutral<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Parabolic SAR<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Bollinger Bands<\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"indicator-signal\" style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\">Neutral<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\">Summary of technical analysis<\/h2>\n<table class=\"recommendation\" style=\"padding: 5px 0; border: 1px solid #698da6; border-collapse: collapse;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"2\" align=\"center\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 1216<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 1px solid #698da6; padding: 5px;\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 1100<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Drought may damage coffee crops Somar Meteorologia agency reported the rainfall in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais last week was only 57% of its historical average. This state is the main producer of arabica coffee. The emerging strengthening of the Brazilian real against the United States dollar may further contribute to a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-170810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170810","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=170810"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170810\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":170825,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170810\/revisions\/170825"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=170810"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=170810"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=170810"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}