{"id":170376,"date":"2020-05-12T08:05:16","date_gmt":"2020-05-12T12:05:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=170376"},"modified":"2020-05-11T18:37:06","modified_gmt":"2020-05-11T22:37:06","slug":"why-financial-trouble-brews-on-the-home-front","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/05\/why-financial-trouble-brews-on-the-home-front\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Financial Trouble Brews on the &#8220;Home&#8221; Front"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1010409311\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 12, 2020<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">By Elliott Wave International<br \/>\n<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The world has been hearing a lot about &#8220;homes&#8221; in recent months, as in &#8212; &#8220;stay there&#8221; to help halt the spread of COVID-19.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the sales of those homes in the U.S. have seen a significant slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>No doubt about it, the coronavirus has played a big role. Yet, a notable divergence was taking shape in the housing market long before the current pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>Financial history shows that it&#8217;s happened before.<\/p>\n<p>Around the time of the prior housing bubble peak, the January 2006 <em>Elliott Wave Financial Forecast<\/em>, which is an Elliott Wave International monthly publication that mainly focuses on U.S. markets, the economy and cultural trends, noted:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">Home sales are falling across the board now, but &#8220;virtually no investors expect sudden burst of housing bubble,&#8221; says the headline of a UBS\/Gallup Poll of investor attitudes: &#8220;Just 1% of all investors expect housing prices next year to exhibit a rapid decline.&#8221; This sentiment is bearish for real estate prices.<\/p><div id=\"inves-275214006\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Indeed, U.S. housing prices topped later in 2006. Lower home prices followed slowing sales.<\/p>\n<p>Fast forward to this chart and commentary from the May 2020 <em>Elliott Wave Financial Forecast<\/em>:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www2.elliottwave.com\/images\/club\/web_ads\/200511-AFFA-BS-HomeSalesPrices.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">The top graph on the chart shows the median price paid for houses sold in the U.S. &#8230; In addition to the terminal five-wave form of the rise, a key to the forecast is seen on the bottom graph. It shows the dramatic divergence in home sales, which retraced just 45% of the 2005-2010 decline.<\/p>\n<p>Individual homeowners would not be the only group hurt if real estate prices fell. Also be aware of this notable factoid and comment from the August 2019 <em>Elliott Wave Theorist<\/em>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">Since 2012, private equity firms have been buying an average of 10% of the annual inventory of properties for sale in the U.S. They now own huge portfolios of homes worth hundreds of billions of dollars.<\/p>\n<p>You&#8217;ve just seen the Elliott wave count of U.S. median home sale prices.<\/p>\n<p>Other financial markets are also at crucial junctures, so this is an ideal time to learn how to apply the Elliott wave method yourself.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the learning process does require work, but it&#8217;s worth it.<\/p>\n<p>As <em>Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior<\/em> states:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">All one really needs to know <em>at the time<\/em> is whether to be long, short or out, a decision that can sometimes be made with a swift glance at a chart and other times only after painstaking work.<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re ready to learn, tap into the insights of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/Free-Reports\/The-Wave-Principle-Applied?utm_source=affiliates&amp;utm_medium=affart&amp;utm_campaign=crwpa&amp;acn=12cps&amp;rcn=aa848&amp;sc_camp=265FB9B87ECC41D9FCA862578F4EFAF1&amp;dy=aa051120\">The Wave Principle Applied<\/a>, which is a 1-hour course that you can access for free through May 15 by joining Club EWI (membership is also free).<\/p>\n<p>Keep in mind that Elliott Wave International normally sells this course for $99, so take advantage of this <strong>limited-time opportunity<\/strong> to learn how to spot Elliott wave patterns on chart patterns of financial markets &#8212; 100% free.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the link that gets you started: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/Free-Reports\/The-Wave-Principle-Applied?utm_source=affiliates&amp;utm_medium=affart&amp;utm_campaign=crwpa&amp;acn=12cps&amp;rcn=aa848&amp;sc_camp=265FB9B87ECC41D9FCA862578F4EFAF1&amp;dy=aa051120\">The Wave Principle Applied.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--\n\n\n<div>\n\n\n<p style=\"padding-top: 10px; border-top: solid 1px #CCCCCC;\"><em>This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline <a href=\"?acn=12cps&rcn=aa848&sc_camp=265FB9B87ECC41D9FCA862578F4EFAF1&dy=aa051120\"><strong><\/strong><\/a>. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Elliott Wave International The world has been hearing a lot about &#8220;homes&#8221; in recent months, as in &#8212; &#8220;stay there&#8221; to help halt the spread of COVID-19. At the same time, the sales of those homes in the U.S. have seen a significant slowdown. No doubt about it, the coronavirus has played a big [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-170376","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170376","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=170376"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170376\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":170377,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170376\/revisions\/170377"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=170376"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=170376"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=170376"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}