{"id":168352,"date":"2020-04-08T07:40:41","date_gmt":"2020-04-08T11:40:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=168352"},"modified":"2020-04-08T07:34:00","modified_gmt":"2020-04-08T11:34:00","slug":"europes-best-performing-2019-market-a-harsh-lesson-in-complacency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/04\/europes-best-performing-2019-market-a-harsh-lesson-in-complacency\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe&#8217;s Best-Performing 2019 Market: a Harsh Lesson in Complacency"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1727798\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 8, 2020<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Even a quick look at a chart&#8217;s Elliott waves &#8220;usually pays off in spades&#8221; <\/span><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">By Elliott Wave International<br \/>\n<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In the world of investing, &#8220;complacency&#8221; is a potentially hazardous state of mind.<\/p>\n<p>Consider that every year, September and October have often been rough on investors. But, in 2019, the S&amp;P 500 had gained approximately 2% during each of those months.<\/p>\n<p>Investors were <strong>comfortable<\/strong> with owning shares. Too comfortable.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s why in November 2019, the <em>Elliott Wave Theorist<\/em> discussed the U.S. stock market and said:<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">Complacency is widespread now.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, that complacency actually extended well beyond the borders of the U.S.<\/p><div id=\"inves-2040850309\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Indeed, in 2019, investors were even pouring into some of the past decades worst-performing markets. As examples: Moscow&#8217;s main stock index spiked 29% and Italy&#8217;s MIB index rose 28%.<\/p>\n<p>Even Greece, a nation that brings to mind headlines of financial woes, had its equity market as Europe&#8217;s top performer in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, our January <em>Global Market Perspective<\/em> zeroed in on Greece specifically and showed this chart as an example of extreme complacency:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www2.elliottwave.com\/images\/club\/web_ads\/AFFA-200407-BS-Jan2020Greece.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>That complacency indeed marked a top in Greece&#8217;s ASE Index. Here&#8217;s an updated chart from our March <em>Global Market Perspective<\/em>, along with the commentary:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www2.elliottwave.com\/images\/club\/web_ads\/AFFA-200407-BS-March2020Greece.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 40px;\">After prices briefly rose above the diagonal lines in a pattern that R.N. Elliott referred to as a &#8220;throwover,&#8221; the Athens Composite reversed course and plummeted 21%. Investors punished all stock markets in February, but they positively brutalized the markets they still perceive to be riskiest. As we have said before, it&#8217;s never wise to blindly jump into a market no matter how beaten down it has become. Likewise, even a quick consultation with the waves usually pays off in spades.<\/p>\n<p>You see, in addition to the epic complacency, Elliott waves in the ASE Index also clearly indicated to our subscribers that a change in trend was at hand.<\/p>\n<p>Now that a downturn has occurred in global equity markets, this is the time to learn about the Elliott wave method and get insights into how to apply it to your market analysis.<\/p>\n<p>You can do so by reading the online version of Frost &amp; Prechter&#8217;s Wall Street classic book, <em>Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior<\/em>. Access is <strong>100% free<\/strong> when you become a member of Club EWI. Membership is also free.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/Free-Reports\/Elliott-Wave-Principle?utm_source=affiliates&amp;utm_medium=affart&amp;utm_campaign=crewp&amp;acn=12cps&amp;rcn=aa840&amp;sc_camp=2BB55074CB8245FA91580A72D65CB94A&amp;dy=aa040720\">Get started<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p style=\"padding-top: 10px; border-top: solid 1px #CCCCCC;\"><em>This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/European-Markets\/Europes-Best-Performing-2019-Market-a-Harsh-Lesson-in-Complacency?acn=12cps&amp;rcn=aa840&amp;sc_camp=2BB55074CB8245FA91580A72D65CB94A&amp;dy=aa040720\"><strong>Europe&#8217;s Best-Performing 2019 Market: a Harsh Lesson in Complacency<\/strong><\/a>. EWI is the world&#8217;s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Even a quick look at a chart&#8217;s Elliott waves &#8220;usually pays off in spades&#8221; By Elliott Wave International In the world of investing, &#8220;complacency&#8221; is a potentially hazardous state of mind. Consider that every year, September and October have often been rough on investors. But, in 2019, the S&amp;P 500 had gained approximately 2% during [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-168352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=168352"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":168353,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168352\/revisions\/168353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=168352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=168352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=168352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}