{"id":165090,"date":"2020-02-17T10:59:57","date_gmt":"2020-02-17T15:59:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=165090"},"modified":"2020-02-17T10:42:36","modified_gmt":"2020-02-17T15:42:36","slug":"the-week-ahead-the-weakest-link","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/02\/the-week-ahead-the-weakest-link\/","title":{"rendered":"The Week Ahead: The Weakest Link"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1275037119\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">February 17, 2020<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener prettyPhoto noreferrer\"><strong>By <\/strong><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-165106\" src=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"651\" height=\"216\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2.jpg 651w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2-160x53.jpg 160w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Screenshot_1-2-150x50.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Trade of the Week<\/strong><\/h4>\n<h2><strong>EURJPY Plummets as Sentiment Worsens<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The euro deepened its losses as investors fret that the Eurozone is inching toward a recession. The bloc\u2019s weakest growth since 2013 is a sign that major economies are yet to stabilize. While the ECB is depleting its ammunition, there is no fiscal effort insight to turn the tide. Instead, a political crisis in Germany poured oil into the fire after Chancellor Merkel\u2019s potential successor stepped down amid divisions within the ruling CDU. The single currency has broken below the major support of\u00a0<strong>119.40<\/strong>. October\u2019s low of\u00a0<strong>117.20<\/strong>\u00a0becomes closer as sentiment deteriorates.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-165108\" src=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2415\" height=\"1137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220.png 2415w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-160x75.png 160w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-1024x482.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-150x71.png 150w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-768x362.png 768w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-1536x723.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURJPY_170220-2048x964.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2415px) 100vw, 2415px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>EURGBP Falls after Britain\u2019s Political Reshuffle<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The pound rallied across the board after PM Boris Johnson replaced Sajid Javid with Rishi Sunak as the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Market participants see in this political shift a move toward a fiscal stimulus to support post-Brexit growth. This week\u2019s CPI, along with unemployment and PMI data, will stir up short-term volatility. Positive readings could add fuel to the pound\u2019s recovery. The pair has fallen back to the December low of\u00a0<strong>0.8280<\/strong>. A pause in the pound\u2019s rally may lead to a temporary pullback near\u00a0<strong>0.8440<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-165109\" src=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2415\" height=\"1199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220.png 2415w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-160x79.png 160w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-1024x508.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-150x74.png 150w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-768x381.png 768w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-1536x763.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/EURGBP_170220-2048x1017.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2415px) 100vw, 2415px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>AUDUSD Struggles to Rebound<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The Australian dollar is still feeling the weight of the China situation. As the Australian economy is highly\u00a0sensitive to supplying China with its commodities such as copper and iron ores, slowdown in the second-largest economy can only put the Aussie under pressure. While the RBA minutes may not offer any surprises from the previous meeting, optimistic job data could help the currency rebound. The Australian dollar is making an attempt at the 20-day moving average (<strong>0.6760<\/strong>). A bullish breakout could trigger a rally towards 0.6850.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-165110\" src=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2415\" height=\"1138\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220.png 2415w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-160x75.png 160w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-1024x483.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-150x71.png 150w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-768x362.png 768w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-1536x724.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/AUDUSD_170220-2048x965.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2415px) 100vw, 2415px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>CADCHF Surges on Economic Silver Lining<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The Canadian dollar has shown surprising resilience in a world full of uncertainties. Even though concerns over\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/en\/2020\/01\/corona-virus-update-chinese-economic-fears\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the coronavirus have slashed<\/a>\u00a0the demand for oil, one of Canada\u2019s major exports, the loonie keeps climbing higher. Positive data and the receding prospect of a rate cut helped markets regain confidence in the Canadian dollar. Wednesday\u2019s CPI figure would be a critical addition to support the rally if it comes out above the consensus. The pair has broken above the psychological level of\u00a0<strong>0.7400<\/strong>. An extended rally could push the loonie to 0.7500.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-165111\" src=\"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2415\" height=\"1137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220.png 2415w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-160x75.png 160w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-1024x482.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-150x71.png 150w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-768x362.png 768w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-1536x723.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/CADCHF_170220-2048x964.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2415px) 100vw, 2415px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>By <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-739832676\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Orbex Trade of the Week EURJPY Plummets as Sentiment Worsens The euro deepened its losses as investors fret that the Eurozone is inching toward a recession. The bloc\u2019s weakest growth since 2013 is a sign that major economies are yet to stabilize. While the ECB is depleting its ammunition, there is no fiscal effort [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-165090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=165090"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":165112,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165090\/revisions\/165112"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=165090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=165090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=165090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}