{"id":163083,"date":"2020-01-10T10:45:55","date_gmt":"2020-01-10T15:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=163083"},"modified":"2020-01-10T07:31:36","modified_gmt":"2020-01-10T12:31:36","slug":"cotton-analysis-lower-cotton-supply-forecast-bullish-for-cotton-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2020\/01\/cotton-analysis-lower-cotton-supply-forecast-bullish-for-cotton-price\/","title":{"rendered":"COTTON Analysis: Lower cotton supply forecast bullish for Cotton price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3714294488\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">January 10, 2020<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Lower cotton supply forecast bullish for Cotton price<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Analysts expect lower US cotton production. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/cotton\">Cotton price<\/a> rise continue?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Shortly thereafter&#8221; of January 15 the US and China will sign the Phase One treaty, which is expected to help increase exports of US agricultural products that suffered during the tariff war. Cotton has been one of agricultural products that suffered during the US \u2013 China trade war. Couple of days ago the Commerce Department reported the US trade deficit narrowed 8.2% in December, following 15% decline in November in America\u2019s annual trade deficit with China. At the same time analysts forecast a 500,000-bale cut to 2019 US cotton production. Lower US production and ending stocks are bullish for cotton price. Today the US Department of Agriculture issues its January World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report. More optimistic WASDE output forecast is a downside risk for cotton prices.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/COTTON_10January2020.png\" alt=\"Cotton rising above MA(50) 1\/10\/2020 IFC Markets Technical Analysis Chart\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the Daily timeframe <b>Cotton: D1<\/b> is rising. Price is trading above the 50 moving averages MA(50), which is rising too.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\"> Parabolic Indicator <\/a> gives a buy signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b> Donchian channel<\/b> indicates uptrend: it is narrowing up.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>RSI indicator<\/b> is about to breach into the overbought zone.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>MACD indicator<\/b> gives a bullish signal: it is above the signal line and the gap is widening.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper boundary of Donchian channel at 71.3. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the lower Donchian boundary at 68.75. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (68.75) without reaching the order (above 71.3), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-4182211286\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 71.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 68.75<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Lower cotton supply forecast bullish for Cotton price Analysts expect lower US cotton production. Will the Cotton price rise continue? &#8220;Shortly thereafter&#8221; of January 15 the US and China will sign the Phase One treaty, which is expected to help increase exports of US agricultural products that suffered during the tariff war. Cotton [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-163083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=163083"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163083\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":163099,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163083\/revisions\/163099"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=163083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=163083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=163083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}