{"id":162173,"date":"2019-12-20T10:45:33","date_gmt":"2019-12-20T15:45:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=162173"},"modified":"2019-12-20T07:07:25","modified_gmt":"2019-12-20T12:07:25","slug":"cotton-analysis-lower-cotton-supply-estimate-bullish-for-cotton-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/12\/cotton-analysis-lower-cotton-supply-estimate-bullish-for-cotton-price\/","title":{"rendered":"COTTON Analysis: Lower cotton supply estimate bullish for Cotton price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-4025006537\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">December 20, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Lower cotton supply estimate bullish for Cotton price<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>US cotton production and ending stocks were downgraded in WASDE December report. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/cotton\">Cotton price<\/a> rise continue?<\/p>\n<p>December\u2019s outlook for US cotton in 2019\/20 included lower production and ending stocks compared with last month, according to US Department of Agriculture\u2019s final World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report. Production was lowered by 611,000 bales mainly due to a 500,000-bale decline in Texas. Ending stocks are estimated 600,000 bales lower this month, at 5.5 million. And the global 2019\/20 cotton forecasts include lower beginning stocks and production, largely offset by lower consumption. Lower US production and ending stocks are bullish for cotton price. And further increase in price when large money managed funds are short cotton by 3,000 contracts will create additional support from forced closing of short positions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/COTTON_20December2019.png\" alt=\"Cotton rising above MA(100) 12\/20\/2019 IFC Markets Technical Analysis Chart\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the Daily timeframe <b>Cotton: D1<\/b> is rising. Price is trading above the 50 and 100 day moving averages MA(50) and MA(100).<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\"> Parabolic Indicator <\/a> gives a buy signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b> Donchian channel<\/b> indicates uptrend: it is narrowing up.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is flat above 50.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> gives bullish signal: it is above the signal line and the gap is widening.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper boundary of Donchian channel at 68. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the lower Donchian boundary at 64.87. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (64.87) without reaching the order (above 68), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1090820282\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 68<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 64.87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Lower cotton supply estimate bullish for Cotton price US cotton production and ending stocks were downgraded in WASDE December report. Will the Cotton price rise continue? December\u2019s outlook for US cotton in 2019\/20 included lower production and ending stocks compared with last month, according to US Department of Agriculture\u2019s final World Agricultural Supply [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-162173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=162173"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162173\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":162188,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162173\/revisions\/162188"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=162173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=162173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=162173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}