{"id":161530,"date":"2019-12-11T10:45:58","date_gmt":"2019-12-11T15:45:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=161530"},"modified":"2019-12-11T07:21:48","modified_gmt":"2019-12-11T12:21:48","slug":"eurczk-analysis-preparing-for-the-czech-national-banks-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/12\/eurczk-analysis-preparing-for-the-czech-national-banks-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"EURCZK Analysis: Preparing for the Czech National Bank&#8217;s meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2007275424\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">December 11, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Preparing for the Czech National Bank&#8217;s meeting<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Weak inflation data for November came out in the Czech Republic. Is there a possibility for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/forex\/eurczk\">EURCZK<\/a> to rise?<\/p>\n<p>An upward movement means the weakening of the Czech koruna against the euro. In November 2019, inflation in the Czech Republic increased by 0.3% and reached 3.1% in annual terms, against 2.7% year over year in October 2019. This is the biggest growth since October 2012. Inflation slightly exceeded the Czech National Bank&#8217;s target range amounting to 2% plus or minus 1%. Tomas Nidetzky, member of the Board of Directors of the Czech National Bank, said that it is advisable to keep the rate at the current level of 2%. Before the publication of the November inflation data, market participants did not exclude a 0.25% rate cut. Earlier, weak data on industrial production and the trade balance for October were published. The Czech GDP in the 3rd quarter of the current year rose by 2.5% year over year, which is 0.2% lower than the official forecast. The next meeting of the Czech National Bank will be held on December 18, 2019.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/10-12-2019.png\" alt=\"EURCZK\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe, the <b>EURCZK: D1<\/b> approached the resistance line of the medium-term neutral trend and formed a triangle. Before opening a buy position, it should be breached up. A number of technical analysis indicators formed buy signals. The further price increase is possible in case of negative economic data in the Czech Republic and positive data in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> gives a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/bolinger-bands\">Bollinger bands<\/a> have narrowed, which indicates low volatility. The lower Bollinger band is titled up.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is below 50. It has formed a positive divergence.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> gives a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bullish momentum may develop in case <b>EURCZK<\/b> exceeds its two last fractal highs and the upper Bollinger band at 25.57. This level may serve as an entry point. The initial stop loss may be placed below the support line of the neutral trend, the lower Bollinger band, the two last fractal lows and the Parabolic signal at 25.4. After opening the pending order, we shall move the stop to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (25.4) without reaching the order (25.57), we recommend closing the position: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-4153569860\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Summary of technical analysis<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 25.57<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 25.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Preparing for the Czech National Bank&#8217;s meeting Weak inflation data for November came out in the Czech Republic. Is there a possibility for the EURCZK to rise? An upward movement means the weakening of the Czech koruna against the euro. In November 2019, inflation in the Czech Republic increased by 0.3% and reached [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-161530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161530"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161530\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":161552,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161530\/revisions\/161552"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}