{"id":161226,"date":"2019-12-06T10:30:13","date_gmt":"2019-12-06T15:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=161226"},"modified":"2019-12-06T08:05:28","modified_gmt":"2019-12-06T13:05:28","slug":"cocoa-analysis-higher-ivory-coast-output-bearish-for-cocoa-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/12\/cocoa-analysis-higher-ivory-coast-output-bearish-for-cocoa-price\/","title":{"rendered":"COCOA Analysis: Higher Ivory Coast output bearish for cocoa price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-4114124747\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">December 6, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Higher Ivory Coast output bearish for cocoa price<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cocoa production is up in Ivory Coast. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/cocoa\">cocoa price<\/a> decline?<\/p>\n<p>Ivory Coast cocoa production is up in October: cocoa grinders processed 4.4 % higher beans compared to the same period last season. Grinders processed 47,000 tons of beans from the start of the season on October 1 to the end of October compared to 45,000 tons for October of last season, according to exporters\u2019 association GEPEX report. Ivory Coast is the world\u2019s top cocoa producer. Higher cocoa production in bearish for cocoa price. At the same time dry weather in Ivory Coast is an upside risk for cocoa. In the center-western region rainfall was 3.5 millimetres (mm) last week, 1.4 mm below the five-year average. And rainfall has been low in central, southern and northern regions too. Farmers are concerned the dry Harmattan winds from the Sahara may result in lower yields as Ivory Coast entered the dry season running from November to March when rain is scarce or light.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/COCOA_6December2019.png\" alt=\"COCOA rises above MA(200) 12\/6\/2019 IFC Markets Technical Analysis Chart \" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"ul-tick\">On the daily timeframe the <b>COCOA: D1<\/b> has been rising after retracing lower following price closing at 17-month high three weeks ago.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> has formed a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates no trend: it is flat.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator <\/a> gives a bearish signal: it is above the signal line and the gap is narrowing.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\"> RSI oscillator <\/a> has formed a bearish divergence.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We expect the bearish momentum will resume after the price breaches below the lower Donchian bound at 2529. A price below that level can be used as an entry point for a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the upper Donchian bound at 2671. After placing the pending order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. By doing so, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (2671) without reaching the order, we recommend canceling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1580496467\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 2529<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 2671<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Higher Ivory Coast output bearish for cocoa price Cocoa production is up in Ivory Coast. Will the cocoa price decline? Ivory Coast cocoa production is up in October: cocoa grinders processed 4.4 % higher beans compared to the same period last season. Grinders processed 47,000 tons of beans from the start of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-161226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161226"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161226\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":161268,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161226\/revisions\/161268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}