{"id":159730,"date":"2019-11-13T12:30:20","date_gmt":"2019-11-13T17:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=159730"},"modified":"2019-11-13T12:30:20","modified_gmt":"2019-11-13T17:30:20","slug":"how-to-use-price-cycles-and-profit-as-a-swing-trader-spx-bonds-gold-nat-gas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/11\/how-to-use-price-cycles-and-profit-as-a-swing-trader-spx-bonds-gold-nat-gas\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Use Price Cycles and Profit as a Swing Trader \u2013 SPX, Bonds, Gold, Nat Gas"},"content":{"rendered":"
November 13, 2019<\/div>
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By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

News does drive certain market events and we understand how certain traders rely on news or interest rates to bias their positions and trades.\u00a0 As technical analysis purists, so to say, we believe the price operates within pure constructs of price rotation theory, trend theory, technical indicator theory, and price cycles.\u00a0 We\u2019ve found that technical analysis distills many news items into pure technical trading signals that we can use to profit from market swings.<\/p>\n

Price is the ultimate indicator in our view.\u00a0 Price determines current trends, support\/resistance levels\/channels, past price peaks and troughs and much more.\u00a0 When we apply our proprietary price modeling and price cycle tools, we can gain a very clear picture of what price may attempt to do in the near future and even as far as a few months into the future.\u00a0 Price, as the ultimate indicator, truly is the mathematical core element of all future price activity, trends, and reversions. Before you continue reading make sure to\u00a0opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter<\/strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

We have been using cycles since 2011 and have developed multiple proprietary price modeling tools over the past 5+ years that assist us in finding and timing great trades.\u00a0 Most of what we have learned over the past 8+ years is refined into \u201cexperience and skill\u201d.\u00a0 When you follow the markets every day \u2013 every hour, for the past 8+ years and see various types of price and technical indicator setups and reactions, you learn to hone into certain setups that have proven to be highly accurate trading triggers.<\/p>\n

Our research team had dedicated thousands of hours to develop the tremendous skills and experience to be able to produce accurate cycles, and to also interpret them, which is what we specialize in doing. Determining which cycles to trade may look simple, yet they are far from easy to trade without the setups and price rotation signals.<\/p>\n

We use a blend of the top 4 active price cycles in the market which updates daily. This data allows us to know where future price is likely to move over the next few days and weeks.\u00a0 Within this article, we\u2019ll show you some of our proprietary price cycles and modeling tools to show you how we run some of our specialized trading tools.<\/p>

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SP500 Daily Chart \u2013 Predicted Price Movement<\/strong><\/h3>\n

This SPY chart highlights the short-term price cycle modeling system where you can see how price reacted in alignment with our proprietary cycle tool.\u00a0 If you look into the future, you can see that our proprietary price cycle tool is predicting the SPY<\/strong><\/a> may cycle into a potential double-top type of formation before cycling lower approximately 8+ days into the future.\u00a0 One thing to remember is these cycle levels do not predict price target levels.\u00a0 Don\u2019t look at this chart and the cycle tool lines as price objectives \u2013 they are just trending bias levels scaled from 0 to 100 \u2013 just like a SINE WAVE.\u00a0 Ideally, in order to identify price targets, we must fall back to technical price theory and Fibonacci price theory in order to identify target price objectives for the top formation and the potential downside price trend in the future.<\/p>\n

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Bonds Daily Chart \u2013 Predicted Price Movement<\/strong><\/h3>\n

This BOND Daily chart highlights a different type of price cycle \u2013 a momentum base\/bottom type of setup.\u00a0 You can see from our proprietary cycle tool lines on the chart how price movement has aligned almost perfectly with the cycle forecast.\u00a0 Also, please notice how the price has moved beyond cycle highs and lows at times.\u00a0 This relates to the fact that we discussed above \u2013 that cycles do not predict price objectives.\u00a0 On this chart, a longer-term momentum base\/bottom setup appears to be forming over the next 8+ days where the Bonds may begin a new upside price trend after the base\/bottom forms.\u00a0 This would indicate that we should be looking for opportunities and price triggers that set up after the bottom has setup \u2013 not before.\u00a0 If we time our entry properly, we may negate any real risk for a trade with Bonds.<\/p>\n

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Gold Miners Daily Chart \u2013 Predicted Price Movement<\/strong><\/h3>\n

This Daily GDXJ chart almost perfectly highlights how the cycles do not align with real price objectives.\u00a0 Throughout most of this chart, you can see the cycle levels rotate higher and lower near the extremes while price rotated in a much more narrow range.\u00a0 Still, pay attention to how our proprietary cycle tool nailed nearly every rotation in price.\u00a0 The range of the cycle lines is indicative of the scale and scope of the total cycle event.\u00a0 Bigger cycle ranges suggest deeper, more volatile price trending events.<\/p>\n

Notice how the current cycle ranges are much more narrow than the previous cycle ranges?\u00a0 This suggests the current price cycle event may be more muted and smaller in volatility than previous price cycle ranges.<\/p>\n

Our proprietary price cycle tool is suggesting that GDXJ will rotate lower to setup a moderate-term price bottom before attempting to move higher over the next 8 to 10+ days.\u00a0 The upside price cycle may be rather muted as well \u2013 possibly only targeting recent price peaks near $40~42.<\/p>\n

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Natural Gas Daily Chart \u2013 Predicted Price Movement<\/strong><\/h3>\n

As you can see our past cycle analysis has been extremely accurate. In, fact natural gas can provide some of the largest and quickest gains out of all asset classes we cover. In August we traded natural gas for a quick 24% profit, and in October we have already locked in 15% again.\u00a0 Our remaining position in Natural Gas is up even more after this incredible upside move predicted by our cycle tool.<\/p>\n

This chart presents a very good example of how our proprietary cycle tool can align with price perfectly at times.\u00a0 In this example, the expected cycle ranges, which highlight the intensity and potential volatility of the price trends, aligned almost perfectly with the real price action.\u00a0 Currently, the cycle tool is predicting a moderate price rotation in Natural Gas before a further upside price move hits.<\/p>\n

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I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these super-cycles are going to last years. A gentleman by the name of Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide:\u00a02020 Cycles \u2013 The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Concluding Thoughts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Opportunities are all around us. \u00a0Using the right tools to identify the true technical cycles, price cycles, and trading setup can help to eliminate risks and hone into more profitable trades.\u00a0 It is almost impossible to time market tops and bottoms accurately, yet, as you can see from our work above, we have tools that can help us see into the future and help to predict when major price peaks and valleys may form. \u00a0Using a tool like this to help you determine when the real opportunity exists and when to time your trades will only improve your market insights and trading results\u2026.<\/p>\n

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull\/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive\/life-changing if handled properly.<\/p>\n

Chris Vermeulen – TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders.com News does drive certain market events and we understand how certain traders rely on news or interest rates to bias their positions and trades.\u00a0 As technical analysis purists, so to say, we believe the price operates within pure constructs of price rotation theory, trend theory, technical indicator theory, and price cycles.\u00a0 We\u2019ve found […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-159730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=159730"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159730\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":159735,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159730\/revisions\/159735"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=159730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=159730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=159730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}