{"id":158376,"date":"2019-10-25T10:45:04","date_gmt":"2019-10-25T14:45:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=158376"},"modified":"2019-10-25T07:02:19","modified_gmt":"2019-10-25T11:02:19","slug":"sugar-analysis-expectations-of-higher-crop-and-exports-bearish-for-sugar-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/10\/sugar-analysis-expectations-of-higher-crop-and-exports-bearish-for-sugar-price\/","title":{"rendered":"SUGAR Analysis: Expectations of higher crop and exports bearish for sugar price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2360397758\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 25, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Expectations of higher crop and exports bearish for sugar price<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Brazil\u2019s sugar output is expected to rise in September while India subsidizes its exports. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/market-data\/commodities-prices\/sugar\">sugar prices<\/a> continue declining?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Sugar global price is depressed due to ample global supply. India\u2019s government established export subsidy in the end of August to support sugar mills in shipping 6 million tons of sugar in 2019\/20 October-September season. India is the fourth largest sugar exporter in the world. And Indian sugar mills are aggressively selling 2018\/19 old crop sugar to Iran: they reached agreement to export 350,000 tons of sugar to Iran a week ago. A couple weeks ago S&amp;P Global Platts analysts survey projected the sugarcane crush in the key Center-South Brazil region is expected to total 36.44 million tons in the second half of September, an increase of 30.9% year on year. And the proportion of cane used for sugar production is expected to be 34.44%, up from 33.02% a year earlier. Brazil is top sugar exporter in the world. Expectations of ample global supply are bearish for sugar prices.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/Sugar_25October2019.jpg\" alt=\"SUGAR below MA(200) 10\/25\/2019 Technical Analysis IFC Markets chart \" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"ul-tick\">On the daily timeframe the <b>SUGAR: D1<\/b> is below the 200-day moving average MA(200) which is falling, this is bearish.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> gives a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates no trend: it is flat.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator <\/a> gives a bearish signal: it is below the signal line and the gap is widening.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\"> RSI oscillator <\/a> is rising but has not reached the overbought zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 12.05. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the last fractal high at 12.60. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (12.60) without reaching the order (12.05), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 12.05<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 12.60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-579162031\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Expectations of higher crop and exports bearish for sugar price Brazil\u2019s sugar output is expected to rise in September while India subsidizes its exports. Will the sugar prices continue declining? Sugar global price is depressed due to ample global supply. India\u2019s government established export subsidy in the end of August to support sugar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-158376","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158376","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=158376"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158376\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":158387,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158376\/revisions\/158387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=158376"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=158376"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=158376"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}