{"id":157563,"date":"2019-10-14T13:15:06","date_gmt":"2019-10-14T17:15:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=157563"},"modified":"2019-10-14T10:54:31","modified_gmt":"2019-10-14T14:54:31","slug":"baghdad-jerome-powell-denies-the-fed-is-using-financial-crisis-tools","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/10\/baghdad-jerome-powell-denies-the-fed-is-using-financial-crisis-tools\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cBaghdad Jerome\u201d Powell Denies the Fed Is Using Financial Crisis Tools"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2657072905\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 14, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><b>By Money Metals News Service<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Jerome Powell has something in common with Bagdad Bob, Saddam Hussein\u2019s infamous press secretary. They\u2019re both liars, suggests Money Metals podcast guest Craig Hemke of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tfmetalsreport.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i>TF Metals Report<\/i><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Telling obvious lies with a straight face is part of Powell\u2019s job description. He hopes to maintain order even though anyone who is paying attention knows something extraordinary is going on.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-reponsive content-img-right\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/no-american-infidels-in-baghdad.jpg\" alt=\"There are no American Infidels in Baghdad. Never!\" \/><\/p>\n<p>When the Fed stepped into the \u201crepo\u201d markets at the end of September with hundreds of billions in short term loans for its owner banks, Powell stood out front telling everyone there is nothing to worry about.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed\u2019s repo market lending was initially sold as a very temporary measure to combat a quarter-end cash crunch in an otherwise healthy financial system.<\/p>\n<p>Now it has morphed into a months-long effort which may ultimately involve trillions of dollars.<\/p><div id=\"inves-3822804085\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Powell hasn\u2019t bothered to explain why there has been such a massive expansion of this program or apologize for the gross mischaracterization of the repo market activities when they originally began.<\/p>\n<p>All we know for sure is that the Fed is acting as the lender of last resort in a market where banks are no longer willing or able to lend to one another at less-than-punitive rates. Fed officials are now committed to playing that role through January, at least.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe they don\u2019t fully understand what the troubles in the repo market portend. It is more likely they are whitewashing some emergency.<\/p>\n<p><u>Perhaps the repo market operations are a backdoor bailout for one or more major banks. Whatever is happening, it can\u2019t be good<\/u>.<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately for Powell the media isn\u2019t asking many questions. And the Fed remains wholly unaccountable. No one there can be forced to explain what is actually going on.<\/p>\n<p>Alert citizens can spot the lies and obfuscation. But, it\u2019s hard to know exactly how bad things are. Eventually some crisis could overwhelm all of the official efforts to manage the story, and the truth will be out.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed may be working to fend off just such a crisis now.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, central bankers announced a program to buy $60 billion worth of Treasury bills each month. This effort will be in addition to the hundreds of billions being pumped into the repo markets.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBaghdad Jerome\u201d says this program should definitely not be considered QE.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-reponsive content-img-right\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/no-sense-in-qe.jpg\" alt=\"In no sense, is this QE\" \/><\/p>\n<p>He told reporters it &#8220;should in no way be confused with the large-scale asset purchase programs that we deployed after the financial crisis.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>His less-than-compelling explanation about why the current program to buy Treasury debt is vastly different than prior programs to buy Treasury debt can be heard <a href=\"https:\/\/video.foxbusiness.com\/v\/6093227779001\/#sp=show-clips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>We understand why Powell is so anxious to avoid the label of \u201cQE.\u201d It would be awkward answering questions about why prior rounds of the program failed to promote lasting economic recovery, or why more of the same should work this time.<\/p>\n<p>Also, central bankers desperately want to promote the idea that they have a large and varied set of tools they can use to perfectly plan the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The truth, which must be hidden, is that there is really only one tool &#8212; the variable-speed printing press. And it only works to make bankers richer and ensure government spending is unrestrained.<\/p>\n<p>Quantitative Easing was itself just a clever and technical sounding label officials cooked up to obscure that program\u2019s base nature. Powell can call the new program whatever he likes, but it has an awful lot in common with prior initiatives.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The scale is massive. Fed balance sheet has grown by roughly $200 billion in two weeks.<\/li>\n<li>The Federal Reserve is buying Treasuries from the banks, rather than directly from the Treasury. It is a handout to the banks who profit from their role as unnecessary middlemen.<\/li>\n<li>It\u2019s a step toward Third-World-style debt monetization. The hundreds of billions in freshly printed dollars will be funneled to Wall Street and then to the U.S. Treasury, not Main Street.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Perhaps the biggest takeaway from these events is that Fed stimulus is a one-way train.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who bought the official promise that central bankers would withdraw stimulus as markets recovered should abandon that notion, now and forever. They tried. They failed.<\/p>\n<p>Stimulus is better understood as an addictive drug. The Fed can never withdraw it without crippling or killing the markets. Plus, there is always the risk of an overdose.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this chart and guess how long will it take to undo all of the \u2018Quantitative Tightening\u201d done since 2018?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive center\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/time-for-a-rebuild.jpg\" alt=\"Time for a Rebuild\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The operations needed to keep the wheels on the cart are getting more extreme. We will find out whether the increasingly flimsy assurances from Powell and other officials are enough to maintain order in the markets.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/articles-analysis\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/money-metals.png\" width=\"80\" height=\"79\" align=\"left\" \/> The Money Metals News Service provides market news and crisp commentary for investors following the precious metals markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Money Metals News Service Jerome Powell has something in common with Bagdad Bob, Saddam Hussein\u2019s infamous press secretary. They\u2019re both liars, suggests Money Metals podcast guest Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Telling obvious lies with a straight face is part of Powell\u2019s job description. He hopes to maintain order even though anyone [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-157563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=157563"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157563\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":157570,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157563\/revisions\/157570"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=157563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=157563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=157563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}