{"id":155625,"date":"2019-09-18T10:45:01","date_gmt":"2019-09-18T14:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=155625"},"modified":"2019-09-18T07:24:02","modified_gmt":"2019-09-18T11:24:02","slug":"cocoa-analysis-falling-indonesia-output-bullish-for-cocoa-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/09\/cocoa-analysis-falling-indonesia-output-bullish-for-cocoa-price\/","title":{"rendered":"COCOA Analysis: Falling Indonesia output bullish for cocoa price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1455936746\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">September 18, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Falling Indonesia output bullish for cocoa price<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Cocoa production is falling in Indonesia and Malaysia. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/cocoa\">cocoa price<\/a> continue rising?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Cocoa production is decreasing in Indonesia and Malaysia. Indonesia is the third-largest cocoa exporter in the world after Ghana and Ivory Coast. Indonesia produced around 260,000 metric tons (MT) of beans in 2017, down 31 percent from the previous year according to the Indonesia Cocoa Industry Association (AIKI) estimates. Indonesia now imports cocoa with 240,000 MT imported in 2018. Cocoa beans yield low income which motivates farmers to switch to profitable crops like palm oil. Falling cocoa crop in the world\u2019s No. 2 exporter of the commodity is bullish for cocoa price.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/Cocoa_R_18September2019.jpg\" alt=\"COCOA breaches above MA(200) 09\/18\/2019 IFC Markets Technical Analysis Chart \" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe the <b>COCOA: D1<\/b> has been rising and has breached above the 200-day moving average MA(200).<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> has formed a buy signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates uptrend: it is tilted up.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator <\/a> gives a bullish signal: it is above the signal line and the gap is widening.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\"> RSI oscillator <\/a> is above 50 level but has not reached the overbought zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We expect the bullish momentum will resume after the price breaches above the upper Donchian bound at 2384. A price above that level can be used as an entry point for a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the lower Donchian bound at 2184. After placing the pending order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. By doing so, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (2184) without reaching the order, we recommend canceling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Order<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 2384<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 2184<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-3501678412\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Falling Indonesia output bullish for cocoa price Cocoa production is falling in Indonesia and Malaysia. Will the cocoa price continue rising? Cocoa production is decreasing in Indonesia and Malaysia. Indonesia is the third-largest cocoa exporter in the world after Ghana and Ivory Coast. Indonesia produced around 260,000 metric tons (MT) of beans in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-155625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=155625"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":155646,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155625\/revisions\/155646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=155625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=155625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=155625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}