{"id":155053,"date":"2019-09-09T10:45:17","date_gmt":"2019-09-09T14:45:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=155053"},"modified":"2019-09-09T08:01:00","modified_gmt":"2019-09-09T12:01:00","slug":"cocoa-analysis-cocoa-tree-disease-in-west-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/09\/cocoa-analysis-cocoa-tree-disease-in-west-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"COCOA Analysis: Cocoa Tree Disease in West Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1105389205\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">September 9, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cocoa Tree Disease in West Africa<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Cocoa Research Institute of Ghana lowered its forecast for cocoa harvest in Ghana by 11% due to the viral disease of the trees Cacao swollen-shoot virus (CSSV). Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/cocoa\">cocoa quotations<\/a> grow?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The number of infected trees in Ghana is estimated at 16%. This country produces 24% of the world&#8217;s cocoa and another 35% falls on its neighboring C\u00f4te d&#8217;Ivoire. In total, three quarters of the world&#8217;s cocoa is grown in Africa. An additional negative for the crop can be very rainy weather in West Africa. Meanwhile, the European Cocoa Association announced an increase in demand for beans in Europe and an increase in the volume of their processing in the 1st quarter of this year by 3.3% to 370.3 thousand tons compared to the same quarter last year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/06-09-2019.png\" alt=\"Cocoa\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe <b>Cocoa: D1<\/b> could not break the lower bound of a long-term uptrend. Now it is adjusted up. Various technical analysis indicators have generated signals to increase. Further growth of quotations is possible in case of bad weather and a reduction in world crop .<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> demonstrates a signal to increase.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/bolinger-bands\">Bolinger bands<\/a> widened, indicating high volatility. The bottom line of the Bollinger has a slope up.<\/li>\n<li>The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is above the mark of 50. Divergence is not observed.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> gives a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bullish momentum may develop if <b>Cocoa<\/b> exceeds the last upper fractal: 2290. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial stop lose may be placed below the last two lower fractals and the Parabolic signal: 2160. After opening the pending order, stop shall be moved following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (2160) without reaching the order (2290), we recommend to cancel the order: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 2290<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 2160<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-2306808056\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Cocoa Tree Disease in West Africa Cocoa Research Institute of Ghana lowered its forecast for cocoa harvest in Ghana by 11% due to the viral disease of the trees Cacao swollen-shoot virus (CSSV). Will the cocoa quotations grow? The number of infected trees in Ghana is estimated at 16%. This country produces 24% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-155053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=155053"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":155078,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155053\/revisions\/155078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=155053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=155053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=155053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}