{"id":154473,"date":"2019-08-30T12:22:07","date_gmt":"2019-08-30T16:22:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=154473"},"modified":"2019-08-30T09:56:01","modified_gmt":"2019-08-30T13:56:01","slug":"precious-metals-now-look-better-than-ever-u-s-government-debt-surges-450-billion-in-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/08\/precious-metals-now-look-better-than-ever-u-s-government-debt-surges-450-billion-in-august\/","title":{"rendered":"PRECIOUS METALS NOW LOOK BETTER THAN EVER: U.S. Government Debt Surges $450 Billion In August"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3524091099\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">August 30, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><b>By Money Metals News Service<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Not only are the precious metals prices looking better than they have for several years, but the reasons to own them continue to improve as central banks begin to crank up their massive CREDIT CARD DEBT.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In just the past month, the U.S. Treasury has increased the outstanding public debt by a whopping $450 billion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20761\" src=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Total-US-Govt-Debt-Outstanding-082719.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Total-US-Govt-Debt-Outstanding-082719.png?x28642 809w, https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Total-US-Govt-Debt-Outstanding-082719-768x573.png?x28642 768w, https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Total-US-Govt-Debt-Outstanding-082719-320x240.png?x28642 320w\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"448\" data-pagespeed-url-hash=\"1214395202\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Of course, they are making up for some lost time as they were unable to increase the debt until the Whitehouse, Senate, and Congress passed a bipartisan deal for a two-year postponement of the debt-ceiling on July 22nd.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the new agreement has kept the U.S. Government from shutting down or defaulting on its debt.<\/p>\n<p>Well, it didn\u2019t take much time after the ink was dry on the new bi-partisan deal that the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/news\/press-releases\/sm743\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. Treasury announced plans to issue $814 billion<\/a>\u00a0of new debt between July and December.\u00a0 And, as we can see, $450 billion was already issued in August:<\/p><div id=\"inves-871613142\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20763\" src=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/US-Total-Debt-082719.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"426\" data-pagespeed-url-hash=\"770399060\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Without this $450 billion in new debt, the entire U.S. Government and economy would have begun to shut down and collapse.\u00a0 Furthermore, the U.S. Treasury is finding decent demand for this new debt because an increasing amount of Foreign Treasuries and Bonds have a negative interest rate.<\/p>\n<p>So, investors around the world would rather buy U.S. Treasuries and Bonds at a small positive rate than lose money, holding their bonds at negative rates.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, this cozy situation won\u2019t last as the Fed will likely be forced to lower rates back to zero and then into negative territory when the U.S. economy rolls over into a recession.<\/p>\n<p>However, here\u2019s an important question.\u00a0 How much does $814 billion of new U.S. Treasury debt look like if we compare it to the value of global gold and silver production in 2019?<\/p>\n<p><strong>According to S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence (gold) and my estimate (silver), global gold production will reach 110 million oz (Moz) this year, while world silver production will likely fall to 850 Moz<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20764\" src=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Global-Gold-Silver-Production-2008-2019f.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Global-Gold-Silver-Production-2008-2019f.png?x28642 924w, https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Global-Gold-Silver-Production-2008-2019f-768x501.png?x28642 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"424\" data-pagespeed-url-hash=\"909616081\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If we multiply the annual production figure for gold by $1,500 and silver by $18, the total value equals approximately $180 billion:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20765\" src=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Increase-US-Govt-Debt-Issuance-vs-Gold-Silver-Mine-Supply-2019.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Increase-US-Govt-Debt-Issuance-vs-Gold-Silver-Mine-Supply-2019.png?x28642 809w, https:\/\/dizgpp7sc1t8t.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Increase-US-Govt-Debt-Issuance-vs-Gold-Silver-Mine-Supply-2019-768x572.png?x28642 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"484\" data-pagespeed-url-hash=\"3299084927\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>So, the U.S. Treasury will have issued another $814 billion in debt in within six months versus the $180 billion value of global gold and silver mine supply for 2019.\u00a0<\/strong>And, this is only one central bank issuing more debt.\u00a0 Thus, the more debt that is added to central banks balance sheets, the more interest rates have to fall.<\/p>\n<p>Why?\u00a0 Well, for starters, the central banks can\u2019t keep the lights or fund the government if the interest expense they are paying on all this debt continues higher.\u00a0 Which means, the next best option is to get the Bondholders to fund some of the central bank deficits.<\/p>\n<p>This is very bullish for gold and silver going forward because the notion that precious metals don\u2019t provide a RETURN or YIELD becomes meaningless when bondholders are charged an interest to lend governments money.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/articles-analysis\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/money-metals.png\" width=\"80\" height=\"79\" align=\"left\" \/> The Money Metals News Service provides market news and crisp commentary for investors following the precious metals markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Money Metals News Service Not only are the precious metals prices looking better than they have for several years, but the reasons to own them continue to improve as central banks begin to crank up their massive CREDIT CARD DEBT. In just the past month, the U.S. Treasury has increased the outstanding public debt [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-154473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=154473"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154473\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":154492,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154473\/revisions\/154492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=154473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=154473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=154473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}