{"id":152172,"date":"2019-07-25T09:35:21","date_gmt":"2019-07-25T13:35:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=152172"},"modified":"2019-07-25T09:15:18","modified_gmt":"2019-07-25T13:15:18","slug":"usd-holds-on-despite-manufacturing-miss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/07\/usd-holds-on-despite-manufacturing-miss\/","title":{"rendered":"USD Holds On Despite Manufacturing Miss"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3702188322\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 25, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Dollar Upside Despite Data Slump<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>USD has strengthened again today, with the index extending the week\u2019s advance above the 97.11 level. Today\u2019s gains come on the back of disappointing economic data release.<\/strong>\u00a0The US manufacturing PMI released yesterday showed the sector falling to its lowest level in almost a decade over June. While USD is rising, the near term outlook looks bearish as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates next week.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Euro Under Pressure<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>EURUSD has been under pressure today also, weighed on by the rally in USD. The market is expecting the ECB to announce fresh easing today meeting.\u00a0<strong>\u00a0The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/en\/2019\/07\/ecb-likely-cut-or-ease-come-autumn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ECB has clearly signaled<\/a>\u00a0its intent in recent comments and expectations have been reinforced by weakness in Eurozone data.<\/strong>\u00a0EURUSD trades 1.1127 last, having broken below the 1.1130 support which has been underpinning price action recently.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Sterling Still Supported<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>GBPUSD has managed to trade in the green over the European morning today.<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/en\/2019\/07\/gbp-explodes-higher\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">GBPUSD bounced higher<\/a> earlier in the week in response to news that Boris Johnson was successful in his bid for leadership of the conservative party, making him the UK\u2019s new PM. However, price has since moved lower, retracing around half of those gains to trade 1.2457 last.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>SPX500 Retreats From Highs<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Risk assets have traded lower today, though the retracement is shallow and looks likely to be short-lived.<\/strong>\u00a0SPX500 is still trading above the 3019.38 level for now as price remains supported by expectations of a US rate cut next week. Furthermore, optimism over fresh US\/China trade talks, due to start next week, will likely keep equities bid.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Safe Havens Rallying<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Safe havens have been higher against USD today, despite strength in the index.<\/strong>\u00a0Gold and JPY have both moved higher against USD, supported by retreating equities prices. USDJPY trades 108.09 last as price continues to range between support at the 107.90 level and resistance around 108.28. Gold prices are likely to stay supported going into the FOMC next week given expectations for a US rate cut.<\/p><div id=\"inves-4064812510\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Crude Rallies On Continuing US Inventories Drawdown<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Oil prices have been higher again today.\u00a0<strong>Price is rallying strongly in reaction to yesterday\u2019s EIA report which showed that US crude inventories fell by nearly 11 million barrels last week.<\/strong>\u00a0This latest decline marks the sixth consecutive decline in US crude stores which is helping assuage concerns about the US demand outlook. Crude trades 56.41 last, with price trading back above the recently broken 56.18 level.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>CAD Climbing, But AUD Upturned<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>USDCAD has struggled today with higher crude prices supporting CAD. USDCAD trades 1.3125 last as the 1.3145 continues to offer resistance.\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0An expected US rate cut next week is likely to make upside even more difficult. Tomorrow\u2019s US GDP print will be keenly watched by traders and any downside surprise is likely to be met with swift USD selling given the current backdrop.<\/p>\n<p>AUDUSD has traded to the downside again today.<strong>\u00a0A resurgent US dollar, as well as lower equity prices, have weighed on the recent recovery in AUD.<\/strong>\u00a0Price trades .6970 last, having moved firmly back beneath both the .7021 level and the .70 level also. However, the decline is currently still holding the rising trend line from year to date lows, keeping hopes of further upside alive for now.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Orbex Dollar Upside Despite Data Slump USD has strengthened again today, with the index extending the week\u2019s advance above the 97.11 level. Today\u2019s gains come on the back of disappointing economic data release.\u00a0The US manufacturing PMI released yesterday showed the sector falling to its lowest level in almost a decade over June. While USD [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-152172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=152172"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152172\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":152175,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152172\/revisions\/152175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=152172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=152172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=152172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}