{"id":151748,"date":"2019-07-18T09:17:27","date_gmt":"2019-07-18T13:17:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=151748"},"modified":"2019-07-18T09:17:27","modified_gmt":"2019-07-18T13:17:27","slug":"south-korea-cuts-rate-25-bps-to-keep-easy-policy-stance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/07\/south-korea-cuts-rate-25-bps-to-keep-easy-policy-stance\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korea cuts rate 25 bps, to keep easy policy stance"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3233861046\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 18, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\nSouth Korea&#8217;s central bank cut its benchmark base rate by 25 basis points to 1.50 percent and said it will maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance as economic growth is expected to be moderate and inflationary pressures will remain low in response to a slowing global economy from trade disputes between the U.S. and China.<br \/>\nIt is Bank of Korea&#8217;s (BOK) first rate cut since June 2016 and reverses the 25-point rate hike in November 2018, which was partly due to concern over rising household debt but also to give the central bank some more room to deal with any future economic downturns.<br \/>\nThe rate cut comes after recent data showed a large drop in South Korean exports as the global economy cools, and BOK lowered its forecast for 2019 economic growth to around 2.2 percent from April&#8217;s forecast of 2.5 percent, which had been cut from an earlier 2.6 percent.<br \/>\nSouth Korea&#8217;s won fell 0.3 percent immediately after the rate cut to 1,182.6 per U.S. dollar, pushing this year&#8217;s depreciation to 5.5 percent, before settling slightly higher at 1,178.5.<br \/>\n&#8220;The Board (of BOK) judges that the pace of domestic economic growth has slowed as construction investment has continued undergoing an adjustment and the slowdowns in exports and facilities investment have deepened, although consumption has continued to grow moderately,&#8221; BOK said.<br \/>\nSouth Korea&#8217;s gross domestic product slowed to annual growth of only 1.7 percent in the first quarter of this year, down from 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of last year, with exports in the second quarter down 8.4 percent after a 8.5 percent fall in the first quarter.<br \/>\nBOK expects the decline in construction investment to continue as exports and facilities investment also recover later than it had expected while consumption will continue to grow.<br \/>\nSouth Korea&#8217;s inflation rate has remained well below its 2.0 percent target &#8211; it was steady at 0.7 percent in May and June &#8211; and BOK expects inflation to remain below the path it predicted in April.<br \/>\nBOK forecast headline inflation would fluctuate below 1.0 percent for some time and then run at the low to mid-1.0 percent level in 2020.<br \/>\n<a name=\"more\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Korea issued the following statement:<\/p>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">&#8220;The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea decided today to lower the Base Rate by 25 basis points, from 1.75% to 1.50%.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">Based on currently available information the Board considers that\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">the pace of global economic growth has continued to slow as trade contracted mainly due to the US-China trade dispute. Global financial markets have been stable in general, with stock prices in major countries increasing in line primarily with expectations of monetary easing in major countries.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">Looking ahead, the Board sees global economic growth and<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">the<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">global financial markets as likely to be affected by factors such as the degree of the spread of trade protectionism, the changes in the monetary policies of major countries, and geopolitical risks.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">The Board judges that the pace of domestic economic growth has\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">slow<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">ed as construction investment has continued undergoing\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">an<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">adjustment and the slowdowns in exports and facilities investment have deepened, although consumption has continued to grow moderately.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">Employment conditions have partially improved, with the increase in the number of persons employed having risen. With respect to future domestic economic growth, the Board expects that the adjustment in construction investment will continue and exports and facilities investment will recover later than originally expected, although consumption will continue to grow. GDP is forecast to grow at the lower-2% level this year, below the April forecast (2.5%).<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">Consumer price inflation has remained low at the mid- to upper-0% level, in consequence mainly of the continued decline in petroleum product prices. Core inflation (with food and energy product prices excluded from the CPI) has been at the mid- to upper-0% range, and the rate of inflation expected by the general public has been at the low-2% level. Looking ahead, it is forecast that consumer price inflation will fall short of the path projected in April and fluctuate for some time below 1% and then run at the low- to mid-1% level from next year. Core inflation will also gradually rise.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">The volatility of price variables in the domestic financial markets has increased.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">L<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">ong-term market interest rates have fallen significantly, in line mainly with concerns about economic slowdowns at home and abroad.<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">S<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">tock prices and<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">the Korean won-US dollar exchange rate have fluctuated considerably, mainly affected by the US-China trade dispute and Japan<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'HCI Poppy', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">\u2019<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">s export restrictions. The rate of\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">increase<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">in household lending has continued to slow,\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">while<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">housing prices have continued their downtrend.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">Looking ahead, the Board will conduct monetary policy so as to ensure that the\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">recovery of economic growth continues and consumer price inflation can\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">be\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">stabilize<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">d\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">at the target level\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">over\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">a\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">medium-term\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">horizon<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">, while paying attention to financial stability. As it is expected that domestic<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">economic growth<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">will\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">be<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">moderate and it is forecast that<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">inflationary pressures on the demand side will remain at a low level, the Board will maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance. In this process it will carefully monitor developments such as the US-China trade dispute, Japan<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'HCI Poppy', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">\u2019<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">s export restrictions, any changes in the economies and monetary policies of major countries, the trend of increase in household debt, and geopolitical risks, while examining their effects on domestic growth and inflation.&#8221;<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; font-size: 15pt; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"a\" style=\"font-family: \ud734\uba3c\uba85\uc870; font-size: 15pt; line-height: 22px; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 17.600000381469727px;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\">www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By CentralBankNews.info South Korea&#8217;s central bank cut its benchmark base rate by 25 basis points to 1.50 percent and said it will maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance as economic growth is expected to be moderate and inflationary pressures will remain low in response to a slowing global economy from trade disputes between the U.S. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-151748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=151748"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151748\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":151750,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151748\/revisions\/151750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=151748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=151748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=151748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}