{"id":150242,"date":"2019-06-25T10:45:55","date_gmt":"2019-06-25T14:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=150242"},"modified":"2019-06-25T07:01:33","modified_gmt":"2019-06-25T11:01:33","slug":"audusd-analysis-getting-ready-for-next-meeting-of-reserve-bank-of-australia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/06\/audusd-analysis-getting-ready-for-next-meeting-of-reserve-bank-of-australia\/","title":{"rendered":"AUDUSD Analysis: Getting ready for next meeting of Reserve Bank of Australia"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2072119003\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">June 25, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Getting ready for the next meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe expressed doubts about the effectiveness of the monetary policy of world central banks to reduce interest rates. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/forex\/audusd\">Australian dollar quotations<\/a> increase?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Such a movement means its strengthening against the US dollar. Currently, the RBA rate is at historic lows at 1.25%. Investors are waiting for the inevitable rate cut to 1% already at the next meeting of the Australian Central Bank on July 2, 2019 and the subsequent reduction to 0.75% by the end of this year. After the statement of the RBA head , the probability of falling rates to 0.75% decreased. Market participants believe that a level of 1% may be sufficient for the Australian dollar. This provided support for AUDUSD. An additional positive factor for it is investors&#8217; expectations that the US Federal Reserve will lower its rate at the next meeting on July 31, 2019. Currently the probability of such event is estimated at 62%. Fed rate cut forecasts have a negative effect on the US dollar.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/24-06-2019.png\" alt=\"AUDUSD\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe <b>AUDUSD: D1<\/b> demonstrated a false breakdown of the support level and began a correction to the top. Various technical analysis indicators have generated uptrend signals. Further growth of quotations is possible in case of statements by Reserve Bank of Australia at a meeting on July 2 that it will refrain from excessive easing of monetary policy.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> demonstrated uptrend signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/bolinger-bands\">Bolinger Bands<\/a> narrowed, indicating low volatility. Both lines of Bollinger have a slope up.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is above the 50 mark. It has formed a divergence to increase.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> shows a signal to increase.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bullish momentum may develop in case if <b>AUDUSD<\/b> exceeds the upper Bollinger line and the downtrend resistance line: 0.7. This level may serve as an entry point. The initial stop loss may be placed below the last lower fractal, the bottom Bollinger line at 0,682. After opening the pending order, we shall move the stop to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (0,682) without reaching the order (0,7), we recommend to cancel the order: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 0,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 0,682<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-429498390\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Getting ready for the next meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia The head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe expressed doubts about the effectiveness of the monetary policy of world central banks to reduce interest rates. Will the Australian dollar quotations increase? Such a movement means its strengthening against [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-150242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150242"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150242\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":150261,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150242\/revisions\/150261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}