{"id":149615,"date":"2019-06-14T09:29:23","date_gmt":"2019-06-14T13:29:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=149615"},"modified":"2019-06-14T09:29:23","modified_gmt":"2019-06-14T13:29:23","slug":"soft-cpi-keeps-usd-weighed-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/06\/soft-cpi-keeps-usd-weighed-down\/","title":{"rendered":"Soft CPI Keeps USD Weighed Down"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-9187449\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">June 14, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Data Miss Keeps USD Pressured<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>The US dollar weakened again over the European morning on Friday.<\/strong>\u00a0Expectations of a forthcoming rate cut from the Fed have ratcheted higher in the wake of recent data weakness which saw<strong>\u00a0CPI lower than expected<\/strong>\u00a0over May. USD index trades 96.56 last with price having turned lower from the 97.10 level once again.\u00a0<strong>Looking ahead today traders are waiting on the release of the U. of Michigan confidence reading.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>ECB Easing Expectations Keep EUR Weighed<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>EURUSD has been weaker today also, despite the lower US dollar, marking its fourth losing day this week.<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Expectations of imminent ECB easing have capped the recent advance in the pair turning price back down toward the 1.1264 level following a strong rally last week.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>GBP Still Weak<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>GBPUSD has also been weighed upon today as Brexit concerns continued to dominate the landscape in GBP<\/strong>\u00a0trading, despite better earnings and employment data earlier in the week. GBPUSD trades 1.2639 last with price having broken back down below the 1.2658 level.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Risk Assets Pause Following Strong Rally<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Risk assets have been a little softer over the final day of the week so far.<\/strong>\u00a0Expectations of a fresh wave of easing from both the Fed and the ECB have helped alleviate concerns regarding the ongoing US\/China trade war. However, the risks from the trade war remain a high-level threat. This week, a list of 600 US companies warned the US president about the negative impact of his aggressive trade policies. Indeed, Walmart which is the largest US private sector employer and also the largest global retailer has said tariffs will increase prices for US consumers. SPX500 trades 2886.83 last, holding above the 2877.30 level.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Gold &amp; JPY Both Higher<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Safe havens have both been higher<\/strong>\u00a0against the US Dollar again today with<strong>\u00a0JPY and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/en\/2019\/06\/gold-soars-to-fresh-2019-high-on-weak-us-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">gold both gaining<\/a>\u00a0on USD<\/strong>\u00a0weakness. Expectations of easing by the Fed has seen gold prices exploding higher recently. XAUUSD trades 1352.71 last sitting at fresh 2019 highs. USDJPY has also turned lower with price sitting at 108.23 last, just above the recent 2019 lows.<\/p><div id=\"inves-3894810965\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Crude Capped By Further Oil Stores Build<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Oil prices have been a little softer today also despite USD weakness as the market digests the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\/blog\/en\/2019\/06\/crude-remains-under-pressure\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">report from the EIA<\/a>\u00a0which showed a further build last week.\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0The weekly report from the Energy Information Administration showed that US crude stores jumped by 2.2 million barrels last week, in stark contrast to the -481k reading expected. This marks the second straight weekly rise and has fuelled concerns once again around soaring US crude production. Crude trades 52.22 last.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Commodity Currencies Down<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>USDCAD has been a little higher over the day so far, despite USD weakness, as\u00a0<strong>expectations for falling oil price as well as ongoing trading disputes have seen CAD a little softer this week.<\/strong>\u00a0USDCAD trades 1.3335 last, up from the mid 1.32 lows plumbed on Monday.<\/p>\n<p><strong>AUDUSD has been lower again today,\u00a0<\/strong>marking<strong>\u00a0its third straight day of losses, despite soaring gold and equities prices.<\/strong>\u00a0Earlier in the week, AUD unemployment rate data came in higher than expected at 5.2% vs 5.1% expected. AUDUSD trades .69 last, with price sitting between the .6863 lows and the recent .70 level retest. Focus, for now, remains on further downside.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.orbex.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Orbex<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Orbex Data Miss Keeps USD Pressured The US dollar weakened again over the European morning on Friday.\u00a0Expectations of a forthcoming rate cut from the Fed have ratcheted higher in the wake of recent data weakness which saw\u00a0CPI lower than expected\u00a0over May. USD index trades 96.56 last with price having turned lower from the 97.10 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-149615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149615"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149615\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":149618,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149615\/revisions\/149618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}