{"id":147687,"date":"2019-05-14T16:19:03","date_gmt":"2019-05-14T20:19:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=147687"},"modified":"2019-05-14T16:19:03","modified_gmt":"2019-05-14T20:19:03","slug":"trade-issues-will-drive-market-trends-part-ii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/05\/trade-issues-will-drive-market-trends-part-ii\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade Issues Will Drive Market Trends \u2013 PART II"},"content":{"rendered":"
May 14, 2019<\/div>
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By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

In PART I<\/a><\/strong> of this report we talked about and showed you the charts of the Hang Seng and DAX index charts and what is likely to unfold. In today\u2019s report here we touch on the US markets. As we\u2019ve suggested within our earlier research posts this year, US election cycles tend to prompt massive price rotations when the election cycles are intense.\u00a0 For example, the 2000 election of George W. Bush prompted a very mild price rotation in 1999~2000.\u00a0 This was likely because the transition from Clinton to Bush II was not overly contentious.\u00a0 The 2008 election of Barrack Obama was a moderately contested election cycle and happened at the time of the biggest credit market collapse in modern history \u2013 thus, the markets were well on their way lower 12+ months before the elections.\u00a0 The 2012 election cycle showed moderate price rotation as it was a highly contested election event in the US.\u00a0 The 2015-16 election event was highly contested as well and the price rotation near this time appears longer and deeper than the 2012 event.<\/p>\n

Now, in 2020, we have one of the biggest, most highly contested US election cycles in recent history unfolding and we have already begun to see a price range \/rotation over the past 12+ months that suggests we could see even bigger price rotation.\u00a0 If we add into this mix the US\/China trade issues, global market concerns, US political rhetoric, and other issues, we have a recipe for A BIG MOVE setting up.<\/p>\n

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Our analysis still suggests that we are poised for an attempt at fresh new all-time highs before any massive price rotation takes place (near the upper trend line).\u00a0 Yet, we believe the downside price rotation is an eventual component of the next 16+ months of the US election cycle and the future price advance that should take place in the near future.\u00a0 In other words, we believe the markets are setting up for a bigger shake-out throughout this election cycle\/trade issue event that will prompt lower prices before the end of 2019.\u00a0 We do believe the markets will settle and resume an upward trend bias after this downside price rotation \u2013 yet we don\u2019t know exactly when that will happen.<\/p>\n

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To the best of our ability to predict the future, we can state this at the moment.\u00a0 It appears the end of 2019 will be filled with large price rotation \u2013 likely to the downside as trade issues and election\/political issues cause a \u201cshock-wave\u201d in the markets.\u00a0 We believe early 2020 will see a relief rally that may setup a bigger price move throughout the remainder of 2020.\u00a0 Right now, traders need to be prepared for an incredible increase in volatility and price rotation.\u00a0 It is very likely that we will see a VIX level above 40 at some point before the end of 2019.\u00a0 This is a time for skilled traders to get in, get profits and get out.\u00a0 Position trading over the next 12+ months will be very difficult.<\/p>\n

For active swing traders, you are going to love our daily trading analysis. On May 1st we talked about the old saying goes, \u201cSell in May and Go Away!\u201d and that is exactly what is happening now right on queue. In fact, we closed out our SDS position on Thursday for a quick 3.9% profit and our other new trade started Thursday is up 18% already.<\/em><\/p>

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Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n

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<\/a>\r\n\t Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p>

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Second, my birthday is only three days away and I think its time\u00a0I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift<\/strong>\u00a0that could have some considerable value in the future.<\/p>\n

Right now I am going to give away and shipping out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. I\u00a0only have 5 left<\/strong>\u00a0as they are going fast so be sure to upgrade your membership to\u00a0a longer-term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans, and you will receive:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

1-Year Subscription Gets One 1oz Silver Round FREE<\/strong>
\n(Could be worth hundreds of dollars)<\/p>\n

2-Year Subscription Gets TWO 1oz Silver Rounds FREE<\/strong>
\n(Could be worth a lot\u00a0in the future)<\/p>\n

I only have 5 more silver rounds I\u2019m giving away
\n\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200bso upgrade or join now before its too late!<\/p>\n

SUBSCRIBE TO MY TRADE ALERTS AND GET YOUR FREE SILVER ROUNDS!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Happy May Everyone!<\/p>\n

Chris Vermeulen – TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders.com In PART I of this report we talked about and showed you the charts of the Hang Seng and DAX index charts and what is likely to unfold. In today\u2019s report here we touch on the US markets. As we\u2019ve suggested within our earlier research posts this year, US election cycles tend to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147687"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":147690,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147687\/revisions\/147690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}