{"id":146838,"date":"2019-05-02T10:45:34","date_gmt":"2019-05-02T14:45:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=146838"},"modified":"2019-05-02T07:00:35","modified_gmt":"2019-05-02T11:00:35","slug":"hk50-analysis-widening-trade-deficit-bearish-for-hk50-hong-kong-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/05\/hk50-analysis-widening-trade-deficit-bearish-for-hk50-hong-kong-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"HK50 Analysis: Widening trade deficit bearish for HK50 Hong Kong Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3709485137\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 2, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Widening trade deficit bearish for HK50<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Hong Kong trade deficit widened in March. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/indices\/hk50\"> HK50 <\/a> decline continue?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Chinese economic data were weak recently: Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers index dropped to 50.2 in April from 50.8 in March, while Hong Kong\u2019s trade deficit widened to H$59.2 billion in March from H$48.8 billion in February. Mainland China\u2019s factory activity weakened in April but still recorded expansion: a reading above the 50 level indicates an expansion in activity. Hong Kong trade deficit increased by 6.7% in March from H$55.5 billion in the same month of the previous year as exports fell 1.2% while imports declined 0.1%. The downtrend in Honk Kong\u2019s exports is still intact due mainly to declining manufacturing and trade activities in the region, according to state statistics agency. The US-China trade dispute is a downside risk for Hong Kong stock market while there are positive developments: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer resumed trade negotiations with China, with sides reportedly close to a final deal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/HK50_O_02May2019.png\" alt=\"HK50 retracing lower 05\/02\/2019 Technical Analysis IFC Markets chart\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"ul-tick\">On the daily timeframe <b>HK50: D1 <\/b> is retracing after hitting 11-month high in mid-April.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\">Parabolic indicator<\/a> has formed a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates downtrend: it is narrowing down.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\"> MACD indicator <\/a> is above the signal line with the gap narrowing. This is a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/stochastic\"> Stochastic oscillator <\/a> is rising but has not reached the overbought zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower Donchian boundary at 29373.5. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the upper Donchian boundary at 30176.5. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (30176.5) without reaching the order (29373.5) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell Stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 29373.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 30176.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-1703147745\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Widening trade deficit bearish for HK50 Hong Kong trade deficit widened in March. Will the HK50 decline continue? Chinese economic data were weak recently: Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers index dropped to 50.2 in April from 50.8 in March, while Hong Kong\u2019s trade deficit widened to H$59.2 billion in March from H$48.8 billion [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-146838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=146838"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146838\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":146852,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146838\/revisions\/146852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=146838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=146838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=146838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}