{"id":143262,"date":"2019-03-08T08:30:51","date_gmt":"2019-03-08T13:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=143262"},"modified":"2019-03-08T06:17:40","modified_gmt":"2019-03-08T11:17:40","slug":"strong-historical-probability-of-ng-long-trades-setting-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/03\/strong-historical-probability-of-ng-long-trades-setting-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong Historical Probability of NG Long Trades Setting Up"},"content":{"rendered":"
March 8, 2019<\/div>
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By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Would you believe that March and April, historically, shows a 2 to 1 statistical probability of NG moving higher.\u00a0 Each of these months shows, historically, that NG has a strong potential for at least a $1.00 upside price move in both March and April.\u00a0 Only 1\/3 of the historically testing time (23 years) did the price of NG actually decrease.<\/p>\n

How do we know this?\u00a0 We\u2019ve built proprietary price modeling and data modeling solutions that allow us to isolate and verify this data.\u00a0 This data was tested on a Monthly price basis for the statistics we\u2019ve provided, above.\u00a0 When we run this same test on Weekly data, the results continue to support our conclusions.<\/p>\n

The weekly historical data analysis for March shows a 53 to 46 positive price advantage with an average of $0.99 upside advantage over 99 tested weeks.\u00a0 The weekly historical data analysis for April shows a 58 to 45 positive price advantage with an average of $0.89 upside advantage over 103 tested weeks.<\/p>\n

Although the Weekly data is not as overwhelming in terms of positive to negative weekly results, the overall results still support the Monthly data \u2013 resulting in nearly a $1.00 upside price advantage.\u00a0 Therefore, we believe any price rotation down in Natural Gas near recent lows, below $2.70, would be an excellent opportunity to take long positions with an upside target between $3.10 and $3.35.\u00a0 We are not attempting to target the full $1.00 potential upside because we want to target safer, quicker upside objectives \u2013 not the lower probability targets.\u00a0 In doing so, targeting a $0.40 to 0.60+ range allows us to execute very high probability objectives and trade almost like a \u201csniper\u201d.\u00a0 Get in, get our target and GET OUT.<\/p>\n

If you want to see recent trade we closed on natural gas take a look at this post<\/a> <\/strong>which I think you will agree is nothing short of simple and awesome!<\/p>

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We believe the current Buy Zone in NG is below $2.70.\u00a0 Once price rotates a bit lower, any entry near the $2.70 level or lower would be an excellent entry level for skilled traders.\u00a0 Our targets would be anything north of $3.00.\u00a0 Ideally, we would pull half of our trade-off as soon as the price reached above $3.00 and pull the second half off when prices reached above $3.20 or $3.25.<\/p>\n

Remember, we\u2019re showing you that the months of March and April share this upside price advantage.\u00a0 This means there is a higher probability of upside price moves throughout March & April in NG and all we have to do is find the strategic entry points and \u201crun our trades\u201d.\u00a0 Get ready for some great trading opportunities this year and pay attention to NG.\u00a0 Remember, you can trade the ETFs for Natural Gas as well.<\/p>\n

If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.\u00a0 We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.\u00a0 In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.<\/p>\n

Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our\u00a0stock and ETF trading alerts\u00a0are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,\u00a0Technical Trading Mastery book<\/u>, and\u00a03 Hour Trading Video Course<\/u>\u00a0are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.<\/p>\n

Chris Vermeulen
\nTheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders.com Would you believe that March and April, historically, shows a 2 to 1 statistical probability of NG moving higher.\u00a0 Each of these months shows, historically, that NG has a strong potential for at least a $1.00 upside price move in both March and April.\u00a0 Only 1\/3 of the historically testing time (23 years) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-143262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=143262"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143262\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":143263,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143262\/revisions\/143263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=143262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=143262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=143262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}