{"id":143059,"date":"2019-03-06T10:45:53","date_gmt":"2019-03-06T15:45:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=143059"},"modified":"2019-03-06T06:47:16","modified_gmt":"2019-03-06T11:47:16","slug":"lean-hogs-analysis-african-swine-fever-has-spread-from-china-to-vietnam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/03\/lean-hogs-analysis-african-swine-fever-has-spread-from-china-to-vietnam\/","title":{"rendered":"Lean Hogs Analysis: African swine fever has spread from China to Vietnam"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1832943450\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">March 6, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>African swine fever has spread from China to Vietnam<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In the countries of Southeast Asia, an outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF) is observed. Will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/lhog\">LHOG prices<\/a> rise?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Vietnamese authorities will take decisive measures to control ASF. From February 1 to March 3, the ASF was detected in 7 provinces of Northern Vietnam. Meanwhile, pork accounts for three-quarters of meat consumption in this country. Last year, Vietnam produced 3.82 million tons of pork. Now it is difficult to say how badly this outbreak of the disease will affect production in the current year. 4 thousand sick pigs have been destroyed in Vietnam so far. In China, ASF outbreaks have been observed since August 2018. The animal husbandry of 28 provinces has been affected, and direct and indirect losses may reach $1 trillion. Another positive factor for pork prices may be the abolition of duties on its imports from the US to China in case of positive results of the meeting of the heads of the United States and China on March 27. Let us note that according to the US Department of Agriculture, pork production in the last week of February decreased by 3% compared to the same period of 2018.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/ifccd.net\/uploads\/image\/05-03-2019.png\" alt=\"LHOG\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe, <b>LHOG: D1<\/b> overcome the resistance line of the downtrend. A number of technical analysis indicators formed buy signals. The further price growth is possible in case of the cancellation of duties on American pork in China and negative development of the situation with ASF.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic Indicator<\/b> gives a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/bolinger-bands\">Bollinger bands<\/a> have widened, which indicates high volatility. Both Bollinger bands are titled upward.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is above 50. It has formed a positive divergence.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> gives a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bullish momentum may develop in case <b>LHOG<\/b> exceeds the upper Bollinger band and the 200-day moving average line at 63. This level may serve as an entry point. The initial stop loss may be placed below the two last fractal lows, the lower Bollinger band and the Parabolic signal at 53.7. After opening the pending order, we shall move the stop to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (53.7) without reaching the order (63), we recommend to close the position: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Summary of technical analysis<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Buy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Buy stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 63<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 53.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-1389054716\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets African swine fever has spread from China to Vietnam In the countries of Southeast Asia, an outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF) is observed. Will LHOG prices rise? Vietnamese authorities will take decisive measures to control ASF. From February 1 to March 3, the ASF was detected in 7 provinces of Northern Vietnam. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-143059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=143059"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143059\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":143076,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143059\/revisions\/143076"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=143059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=143059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=143059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}