{"id":142271,"date":"2019-02-21T11:07:35","date_gmt":"2019-02-21T16:07:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=142271"},"modified":"2019-02-21T11:07:35","modified_gmt":"2019-02-21T16:07:35","slug":"no-gold-and-silver-so-far-so-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/02\/no-gold-and-silver-so-far-so-good\/","title":{"rendered":"No Gold and Silver? So Far, So Good&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1469918096\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">February 21, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><b>By Money Metals News Service<\/b><\/p>\n<p>In the original (1960) classic movie <i>The Magnificent Seven<\/i>, a Western adaptation of Kurosawa&#8217;s <i>The Seven Samurai<\/i>, Vin (Steve McQueen), tells the wry tale of a man who fell off a ten-story building. Passing each floor people heard him say, &#8220;So far, so good!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This strange little tale is an excellent metaphor for many of today&#8217;s citizens around the globe.<\/p>\n<p>Through the multiple lens of news reporting, political commentary and social media, they see what&#8217;s going on yet remain transfixed in the moment, because things are well, so far, so good.<\/p>\n<p>Venezuelans have done so even as adults there have lost an average 20 pounds, while their &#8220;leader&#8221; may have gained even more!<\/p>\n<h2>So far, so good&#8230; until it isn&#8217;t.<\/h2>\n<p>On November 20, 2016, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi banned 500 and 1,000-rupee notes (worth respectively about $7 and $15). His edict &ndash; supposedly to crack down on untaxed, criminal used &#8220;black money&#8221; &ndash; instantly nullified as legal tender, 85% of all cash in circulation. People literally died standing in massive bank access lines.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1695077453\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<div class=\"caption-right\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-reponsive\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/price-of-gold-in-india-vs-us.jpg\" alt=\"Price of Gold in India vs U.S.\" \/><\/p>\n<p><i>Courtesy Manward Press<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>And what happened to gold because of this? <u>Overnight<\/u>, the domestic Indian price almost doubled!<\/p>\n<p>These things (like FDR&#8217;s surprise gold ban and Nixon&#8217;s defaulting on the final link to a gold standard), tend to be preceded by an official government denial.<\/p>\n<p>And it&#8217;s usually over the weekend, when markets, banks, and local coin dealers are closed.<\/p>\n<p>In an ad for the advisory letter, Manward, Andy Snyder makes the case for something similar happening in the U.S., saying:<\/p>\n<p><i>&#8230; if you prepare well for the inevitable death of cash in America, you can set yourself up to avoid the pain and collect a hefty sum of money. Very soon, I expect the Federal Reserve will make the historic move away from cash and toward electronic money. It will accelerate the shift to a cashless America at light speed. Some investors will get killed; some will get very rich.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>He then discusses electronic gold, but the key takeaway for us is that holding physical gold has always been &ndash; and will continue to be &ndash; a way to backstop the value of your other &#8220;assets,&#8221; even if they are ground away because of government negligence or societal unrest.<\/p>\n<p>Among the roles gold plays are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A way to mitigate underperformance in other asset classes.<\/li>\n<li>A fiat currency outperformer par excellence, with no credit risk.<\/li>\n<li>A non-correlated asset, in a &#8220;risk-off&#8221; financial environment.<\/li>\n<li>A way to exchange fiat paper promises for sound, &#8220;honest money.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>A &#8220;top &#8216;o the crop&#8221; insurance vehicle for a variety of scenarios.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Maybe you feel lucky &#8211; but how much would you pay?<\/h2>\n<div class=\"caption-left\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-reponsive\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/plata-o-plomo.jpg\" alt=\"Plata o Plomo\" \/><\/p>\n<p><i>Plata o Plomo?<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>How much would you pay for a tank of gas for your car? How much for a box of handgun ammo? For a water filter? A tube of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/buy\/silver\/rounds\">silver rounds<\/a>? For a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/quarter-ounce-american-gold-eagle-coin\/6\">quarter ounce of gold<\/a>? You should of course already have all these items on hand &ndash; just in case.<\/p>\n<p>Less than two years ago, a Venezuelan citizen with a few ounces of silver could have exchanged it for 6 months of food. With an ounce of gold &ndash; a house.<\/p>\n<p>Today, after 1,000,000 % inflation in 2018 alone &ndash; for a grocery store (assuming it still has groceries!) and a housing subdivision?<\/p>\n<p>Just about every other country in the world continues to experience inflationary effects which cut the purchasing price &ndash; every year &ndash; of each and every &#8220;paper promise&#8221; (kudos to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.themorganreport.com\/join-the-free-morgan-report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">David Morgan<\/a> for popularizing this term) in their wallet or &#8220;savings&#8221; account.<\/p>\n<p>Even in the U.S. with an &#8220;official&#8221; 2% inflation rate (actually closer to 9%) the effects become devastating.<\/p>\n<div class=\"caption-right\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-reponsive\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/plata-pura-fistful-of-silver.jpg\" alt=\"Plata Pura 'Fistful of Silver'\" \/><\/p>\n<p><i>Plata Pura. A &#8220;fistful of silver&#8221;<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>And poor Canada, which just a few years ago boasted an exchange rate of USD $1.05, now sits at just 0.75 cents &ndash; meaning our Northern friends must now pay 30% more in order to purchase their own <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/one-ounce-canadian-maple-leaf-gold-coin-9999-pure\/14\">Gold<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/silver-maple-leaf-one-ounce-9999-pure\/16\">Silver Maple Leafs<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Analyst Clive Maund&#8217;s long term chart is starting to look interesting. Silver has formed a technical double bottom with a 3-year separation hinge.<\/p>\n<p>A series of &#8220;resistance&#8221; points sit above current price levels. Long-suffering investors will sell into them to &#8220;take a profit&#8221; or &#8220;get back to even.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Once $22 is cleared on the upside, especially with 3 closes above that round number &ndash; one of David Morgan&#8217;s favorite indicators &ndash; it could be blue sky for prices up to $34. It&#8217;s unlikely to happen by tomorrow, but it could be a lot sooner and more dynamic than most people expect.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive center\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/uploads\/content\/silver-charts.jpg\" alt=\"Silver (Charts)\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>How to avoid &#8220;a mess of cactus&#8221;<\/h2>\n<p>Near the end of <i>The Magnificent Seven<\/i>, Mexican Bandit Calvera, (played by born and raised in Brooklyn, Eli Wallach) asks Vin why he took the job of keeping outlaws away from the small community.<\/p>\n<p>Vin recounts the story of someone he knew in El Paso. <i>&#8220;One day, he just took all his clothes off and jumped in a mess of cactus. I asked him that same question, &#8216;Why&#8217;? He said, &#8216;It seemed to be a good idea at the time.&#8221;&#8216;<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Perhaps it &#8220;seems like a good idea&#8221; now to wait until you think it&#8217;s time to start laying away some <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/buy\/gold\">gold<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/buy\/silver\">silver<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moneymetals.com\/buy\/platinum\">platinum<\/a>. Or maybe you feel that you&#8217;ll be able to spot things unraveling far enough ahead so you can purchase some metal &#8220;just in time.&#8221; Maybe&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>But if you want to beat the odds of someday, perhaps rather soon, finding yourself in &#8220;a mess of cactus,&#8221; it would be a good idea to get up off the couch and exchange a fistful of fiat paper for some metal &ndash; now.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/articles-analysis\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/money-metals.png\" align=\"left\" height=\"79\" width=\"80\"> The Money Metals News Service provides market news and crisp commentary for investors following the precious metals markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Money Metals News Service In the original (1960) classic movie The Magnificent Seven, a Western adaptation of Kurosawa&#8217;s The Seven Samurai, Vin (Steve McQueen), tells the wry tale of a man who fell off a ten-story building. Passing each floor people heard him say, &#8220;So far, so good!&#8221; This strange little tale is an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142271","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=142271"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142271\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":142272,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142271\/revisions\/142272"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=142271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=142271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=142271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}