{"id":141621,"date":"2019-02-11T09:30:11","date_gmt":"2019-02-11T14:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=141621"},"modified":"2019-02-11T07:15:57","modified_gmt":"2019-02-11T12:15:57","slug":"our-may-stock-market-prediction-part-i-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/02\/our-may-stock-market-prediction-part-i-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Our May Stock Market Prediction \u2013 PART I"},"content":{"rendered":"
February 11, 2019<\/div>
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By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

As we enter the final stage of our market predictions from nearly 5 months ago, we thought it would be a good time to revisit these predictions and to update all of our followers with some timely and, apparently, accurate market data.\u00a0 We hope that many of you remember out predictions from September 2018<\/strong> where we called for a 5~8% market decline, followed by a basing market headed into the November 2018 US elections, followed by a deep \u201cUltimate Low\u201d price rotation before we called for an incredible upside price rally?\u00a0 The reason it is so important to watch for and understand all of our research is that we are attempting to provide great value and insight to our followers as well as help them protect their open positions from unknown risks.<\/p>\n

As a bonus to all of this, we are going to include predictions made by our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system that originated from December 2017 going all the way forward through to the end of May 2019.\u00a0 Can you imagine what it would be like to have a tool that could show you what is likely to happen going forward 6 months, 12 months or even 24 months into the future?\u00a0 Well, that is what we have with the ADL predictive price modeling system and we are going to show you how well it has been able to pick the future of the markets for the past 15+ months.\u00a0 Here we go.<\/p>\n

At this point, we are going to highlight our earlier predictions (all of 2018 and into Q1\/Q2 of 2019) and show you what the market has done since these calls were made back in September 2018.\u00a0 Pay attention to this Weekly ES (S&P 500 chart) and pay attention to the YELLOW ARROWS on this chart.\u00a0 We have highlighted key predictive price modeling points with these yellow arrows on the chart to show you what our ADL predictive modeling system suggested would happen back in December 2017.<\/p>\n

If you follow these arrows from left to right, you\u2019ll see how the ADL system predicted an early price breakdown in 2018 \u2013 we call this a \u201cPrice Anomaly\u201d where price moves against the predicted price targets, then reverts back to near these targets.\u00a0 These can be incredibly profitable trading opportunities for skilled traders as well.\u00a0 That early 2018 breakdown in price was a -318 pt move (-10.95%) and we were alerted to it well before it happened.<\/p>\n

The next phase of the ADL price modeling system was to suggest that Q1 and Q2 2018 would settle into an extended basing pattern with a moderate upside price bias.\u00a0 You can see how accurate the timing of this ADL prediction was and how price reacted to this basing phase through June 2018.<\/p>

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The next phase of the ADL price model showed a Q3 price rally\/uptrend with a potential upside move of about +210 pts (+8%). The real price move from these points (basing end to top) was +197 pts (+7.19%).\u00a0 The actual price top (another Price Anomaly pattern) happened on September 17\/24, 2018.<\/p>\n

Pay attention to that last date: September 17, 2018, and read this post<\/strong> from that date.\u00a0 This is the research post that issued our latest warning\/predictions that cover the past 5+ months.<\/p>\n

You can clearly see that our ADL predictive modeling system was calling for a -5~8% price decline in August, September 2018.\u00a0 Again, this type of early warning feature provided by the ADL also sets up Price Anomaly patterns \u2013 when price moves against the ADL predictive modeling system and allows for a reversion trade setup.\u00a0 This is just such an event.\u00a0 As we were aware of the potential for a downside price event, yet price continued to push higher till October 1, 2018.\u00a0 When price did, finally, break lower, we can see how quickly the -5~8% ADL prediction became true.\u00a0 It only took 6 weeks for the price to break downward -326 pts (-11.15%), then begin to base.<\/p>\n

This is where things start to get interesting for us and our readers\/followers.\u00a0 Our analysis on September 17, 2018, suggested that the US stock markets would base and trade sideways before the November 6, 2018, US elections, then break lower to establish an \u201cUltimate Low\u201d price pattern.\u00a0 What we didn\u2019t expect was the size and scope of the \u201cUltimate Low\u201d price rotation that happened in the markets.\u00a0 Our ADL modeling system suggested a -115 pt (-4.45%) downward price rotation was likely.\u00a0 What really happened was the markets collapsed -453 pts (-16.17%).<\/p>\n

After the Ultimate Low price setup, the ADL predicted an upside price rally in excess of 400 pts (+17.5%) and what has recently transpired, so far, is an upside price rally of 421 pts (+18.17%).<\/p>\n

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Think about how powerful this predictive price modeling system really is to be able to call this market moves 10~20+ months in advance.\u00a0 Certainly, it is not perfect in every prediction, but the advanced knowledge and resources it provides is has proven to be a powerful tool for insight into future price direction.<\/p>\n

What should we expect going forward?\u00a0 Take a look at the yellow lines drawn into the future of this chart.\u00a0 If our ADL price model is correct, then we should continue to see more moderate upside price bias with prices trading a bit more narrowly in a \u201cmelt-up\u201d type of environment through the middle\/end of June 2019.\u00a0 Want to know what our ADL predictive price model is showing for the rest of the year and into early 2020, then visit\u00a0TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong> and learn why our members benefit from our tools and research in far more detail than we deliver in these public posts.<\/p>\n

It is not too often that we share this level of research with the general public. We issued the September 2018 research post because we wanted to warn our followers that a massive price decline\/rotation was about to unfold.\u00a0 You can read all of our public free research posts.<\/strong>\u00a0 Today, we are sharing with you our ADL predictive price modeling results for the next 3~4 months for the SP500 \u2013 how valuable is that?\u00a0 If you save or print this article, you will be able to reference it going forward for the next 90+ days and compare the real price action to our ADL predictive modeling results.\u00a0 We believe the results will be similar to what our ADL is suggesting and we can see these ADL results for any instrument traded throughout the world.<\/p>\n

We believe 2019 will be an incredible year for skilled traders and we believe the markets will set up numerous trade setups for fantastic profits.\u00a0 We are already hard at work developing new member tools, research models and algo trading systems to help our members take advantage of these incredible market moves.\u00a0 Please take a minute to see how our researchers and traders at\u00a0TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong> can assist you this year.\u00a0 We will be launching an incredible new member tool in about 30~60 days.\u00a0 You won\u2019t want to miss this fantastic new software utility to help you find and execute great trades.\u00a0 See you in the member\u2019s section of our site.<\/p>\n

Chris Vermeulen
\nTechnical Traders Ltd.<\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders.com As we enter the final stage of our market predictions from nearly 5 months ago, we thought it would be a good time to revisit these predictions and to update all of our followers with some timely and, apparently, accurate market data.\u00a0 We hope that many of you remember out predictions from September […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-141621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141621"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141621\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":141624,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141621\/revisions\/141624"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}