{"id":141359,"date":"2019-02-08T10:35:03","date_gmt":"2019-02-08T15:35:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=141359"},"modified":"2019-02-08T09:12:56","modified_gmt":"2019-02-08T14:12:56","slug":"eurusd-analysis-slowing-euro-zone-business-activity-bearish-for-eurusd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2019\/02\/eurusd-analysis-slowing-euro-zone-business-activity-bearish-for-eurusd\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Analysis: Slowing euro-zone business activity bearish for EURUSD"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1648487566\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">February 8, 2019<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Slowing euro-zone business activity bearish for EURUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Euro-zone\u2019s private sector expansion slowed in December. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/market-data\/forex-prices\/eurusd\">EURUSD<\/a> continue declining?<\/p>\n<p>After the European Central Bank January 24 decision to leave policy unchanged euro-zone\u2019s economic data have been negative on balance. The economy slowed in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared with the same period a year ago: Q4 GDP increased 1.2% over year after 1.6% growth in Q3. Retail sales growth was slower in December: it rose 0.8% over year after 1.8% increases in November. And private sector expansion slowed in January as evidenced by the Markit Composite PMI. Slowing of expansion in euro-zone economy is bearish for euro.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/ifccd.net\/uploads\/image\/EURUSD_O_08Feb2019.png\" alt=\"EURUSD retreating 02\/08\/2019 Technical Analysis IFC Markets\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"ul-tick\">On the 4-hour timeframe <b> EURUSD:H4 <\/b> is retracing after it hit 4-week high in mid-January.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ul-tick\">\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates downtrend: it is narrowing down.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\"> MACD indicator <\/a> is below the signal line and the gap is widening, which is a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\">Parabolic indicator<\/a> gives a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/stochastic\"> stochastic oscillator <\/a> is falling but has not reached the oversold zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches the below the lower Donchian boundary at 1.1324. A price point below that level can be used as an entry point for a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the fractal high at 1.1440. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (1.1440) without reaching the order we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-3489700977\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 1.1324<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 1.1440<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Slowing euro-zone business activity bearish for EURUSD Euro-zone\u2019s private sector expansion slowed in December. Will the EURUSD continue declining? After the European Central Bank January 24 decision to leave policy unchanged euro-zone\u2019s economic data have been negative on balance. The economy slowed in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared with the same period [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-141359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141359"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":141385,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141359\/revisions\/141385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}