{"id":138568,"date":"2018-12-09T19:29:12","date_gmt":"2018-12-10T00:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=138568"},"modified":"2018-12-09T19:29:12","modified_gmt":"2018-12-10T00:29:12","slug":"waiting-for-gold-to-erupt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/12\/waiting-for-gold-to-erupt\/","title":{"rendered":"Waiting for Gold to Erupt"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3907390268\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">December 9, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1zUUpun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As we are watching the US and global markets rotate dramatically lower over the past few days, we have been advising our members that we believe this rotation is an over-reaction to economic impetuses and trade issues \u2013 not a massive downside price break.\u00a0 Overall, some of our longer-term technical indicators are currently bearish, as one would think technical indicators would react to price activity and trends.\u00a0 Our ADL, predictive modeling system, is still suggesting upside price activity and we believe our research team has hit on something that helps to put this end of year turmoil into perspective.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26788\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Chart_18-12-05_ES_Fib_D.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Chart_18-12-05_ES_Fib_D.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Chart_18-12-05_ES_Fib_D-300x189.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"440\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Where is the fear?\u00a0 The news cycles had indicated that much of the \u201cbig money\u201d investors had already exited the markets prior to Nov 1.\u00a0 This leaves the retail investors and the market-makers to manipulate the markets.\u00a0 Volatility has been much higher than the previous two-Quarters average and volume has been moderately strong in the ES.\u00a0 This leads us to believe that quite a bit of retail and foreign investor activity has been taking place in the US Equities markets.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, there are concerns arising from the likes of Apple, Caterpillar and other blue-chip symbols.\u00a0 These arise from some concerns regarding future earnings capabilities in the face of increasingly complicated trade and global market conditions.\u00a0 Yet, we have yet to see any of this fear fall into the normal outlets \u2013 GOLD.<\/p>\n<p>When we take a look at monthly gold using one of our custom pricing indicators, we are seeing very moderate upside gold price activity over the past 60+ days.\u00a0 All of this is taking place near a very tight pricing channel, setting up as a pennant or flag formation, that should prompt a bigger move in Gold in 2019.\u00a0 But as of right now, nothing is evident to show that a massive amount of fear has entered the markets and is driving capital into the traditional safe-haven investment.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26789\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/GoldCustomIndex_M_F.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/GoldCustomIndex_M_F.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/GoldCustomIndex_M_F-300x168.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"391\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, we still believe this downside move is more technical in nature and will likely end near the 2620 level on the ES as support continues to hold near recent lows.\u00a0 As we have been suggesting for many months now, we continue to believe this is the time to establish small long positions near these support levels in preparation for a broader market recovery near the end of December and into early 2019.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1647901111\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Please take a minute to visit <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1zUUpun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong> to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and how we can help you navigate these market moves more clearly.\u00a0 Our research team is dedicated to helping you understand these markets and find greater success.\u00a0 Join our other members in making 2019 a fantastic year.<\/p>\n<p>Chris Vermeulen<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By TheTechnicalTraders.com As we are watching the US and global markets rotate dramatically lower over the past few days, we have been advising our members that we believe this rotation is an over-reaction to economic impetuses and trade issues \u2013 not a massive downside price break.\u00a0 Overall, some of our longer-term technical indicators are currently [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-138568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=138568"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138568\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":138569,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138568\/revisions\/138569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=138568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=138568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=138568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}