{"id":136063,"date":"2018-10-25T10:26:23","date_gmt":"2018-10-25T14:26:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=136063"},"modified":"2018-10-25T10:26:23","modified_gmt":"2018-10-25T14:26:23","slug":"norway-maintains-rate-no-substantial-change-in-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/10\/norway-maintains-rate-no-substantial-change-in-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Norway maintains rate, no substantial change in outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-656856470\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 25, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Norway&#8217;s central bank kept its policy interest rate steady at 0.75 percent, as expected, and said the outlook had not changed substantially since September and &#8220;the outlook and balance of risks imply a gradual increase in the key policy rate.&#8221;<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; On Sept. 20 Norges Bank (NB) raised its rate by 25 basis points, the first rate hike in seven years,&#8221; and said the rate would most likely be increased further in the first quarter of 2019 as the economic upturn was continuing and capacity utilization close to normal.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; In its brief statement today, the NB reiterated this guidance, adding economic growth had been a little lower but inflation somewhat higher than projected in September but the overall outlook and balance of risks had not changed substantially.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The week after the rate hike, NB Governor Oeystein Olsen confirmed the central bank would take a cautious approach to rate increases in coming years to assess the impact of higher interest rates on households as their debt levels are higher so rate increase will have a greater impact on consumption than earlier.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; However, Olsen added that the strength of this impact on household consumption from higher interest rates is uncertain, suggesting a cautious approach to rate setting.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; In the run-up to the rate hike, the Norwegian krone had firmed but since the hike it has eased.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Today the krone was trading at 8.32 to the U.S. dollar, down 2 percent since Sept. 20 but down only 1.4 percent since the start of this year.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; In its September monetary policy report, NB forecast the policy rate would average 1.0 percent in 2019, 1.5 percent in 2020 and 1.9 percent in 2021.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Norway&#8217;s headline inflation rate was unchanged at 3.4 percent in September from August, well in excess of the central bank&#8217;s recently-lowered inflation target of 2.0 percent.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; NB has forecast inflation would average 2.7 percent this year but then fall to 1.3 percent in 2019, 1.4 percent in 2020 and 1.8 percent in 2021.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; In the second quarter of this year Norway&#8217;s economy grew by an annual 3.3 percent, up from a contraction of 0.7 percent in the first quarter.<br \/><a name='more'><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Norges Bank issued the following statement:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"background-color: white; caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; font-family: Lato, sans-serif;\">&#8220;Norges Bank&#8217;s Executive Board has decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged at 0.75 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\">In the<\/span><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.norges-bank.no\/en\/Published\/Publications\/Monetary-Policy-Report-with-financial-stability-assessment\/2018\/318\/\" style=\"box-sizing: border-box; caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #2c7399; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\">September 2018 Monetary Policy Report<\/a><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\">, the Executive Board&#8217;s assessment was that the economic upturn was continuing and that capacity utilisation was close to a normal level. Underlying inflation was close to the 2 percent target. The key policy rate was raised from 0.50 to 0.75 percent in September, and the Executive Board&#8217;s assessment was that the key policy rate would most likely be increased further in 2019 Q1.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box; caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">The outlook and balance of risks imply a gradual increase in the key policy rate. Economic growth has been a little lower and inflation somewhat higher than projected, but the outlook and the balance of risks do not appear to have changed substantially since the September Report.&#8221;<\/div>\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box; caret-color: rgb(21, 52, 67); color: #153443; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: Lato, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"> &nbsp; &nbsp;www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<div style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #313132; font-family: freight-book, serif; font-size: 21px; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.52; margin-bottom: 30px; margin-left: 97.6875px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;\"><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By CentralBankNews.info &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Norway&#8217;s central bank kept its policy interest rate steady at 0.75 percent, as expected, and said the outlook had not changed substantially since September and &#8220;the outlook and balance of risks imply a gradual increase in the key policy rate.&#8221;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; On Sept. 20 Norges Bank (NB) raised its rate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-136063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=136063"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136063\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":136064,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136063\/revisions\/136064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=136063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=136063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=136063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}