{"id":134794,"date":"2018-10-02T08:34:09","date_gmt":"2018-10-02T12:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=134794"},"modified":"2018-10-02T07:28:04","modified_gmt":"2018-10-02T11:28:04","slug":"expect-q3-earnings-price-surprises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/10\/expect-q3-earnings-price-surprises\/","title":{"rendered":"Expect Q3 Earnings Price Surprises"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3378621883\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 2, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1zUUpun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our focus is on developing and deploying very specialized price modeling and predictive analysis systems.\u00a0 Our objective is to inform our members of these potential price moves and to assist them in finding successful trading opportunities.\u00a0 We are alerting all of our followers of a potential move today, because we believe this move could frighten some investors as we expect price rotation as Q3 earnings data is released just before the November 2018 mid-term elections.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly $INDU (Dow Industrial Average) chart shows our Adaptive Predictive Learning (ADL) modeling system at work.\u00a0 In this example, we asked our ADL system what it believed would be the most likely outcome originating from July 23, 2018.\u00a0 The reason we selected this date is because this weekly price bar prompted the current upside price move.\u00a0 This type of price trigger can often generate highly accurate future predictive price data.\u00a0 This bar consisted of 11 unique price markers that predict future price moves, first lower, then back to the upside, with a range of probability from 83% to 96%.\u00a0 The initial downside price move suggests that an initial -800 to -1000 pt move (-4%) will take place before November 10, 2018.\u00a0 Subsequently, price should begin to move upward again after the US mid-term elections and through the end of 2018.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26623\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Chart_18-10-01_INDU_W_ADL.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Chart_18-10-01_INDU_W_ADL.png 700w, https:\/\/www.thetechnicaltraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Chart_18-10-01_INDU_W_ADL-300x181.png 300w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"423\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In conclusion, October is known as a weak month for US equities so get ready for price volatility and expect the Tech-heavy NASDAQ to rotate in a larger range than the S&amp;P and the $INDU. Additionally, expect the VIX to increase in value over the next 30+ days as October passes.<\/p>\n<p>I will admit the charts in July\/Early September were showing signs of a market correction in mind September but no bearish reversal pattern formed and price continued higher. During this time we closed out a position in YINN for 14% profit and another 4.3% in the IYT ETF. This goes to show how we can profit to the long side even when we are expecting a sell off the markets. We trade based on technical analysis and use our ADL and other forecasting analysis to add more conviction to a move, but we don\u2019t trade based on predictions along.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to know how we help our members find and execute for greater success, visit\u00a0<u>www.TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u>\u00a0to see our completed trades for this year and learn how we can help you find great opportunities now and in the future.<\/p><div id=\"inves-3162883313\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Chris Vermeulen &#8211;<strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1zUUpun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By TheTechnicalTraders.com Our focus is on developing and deploying very specialized price modeling and predictive analysis systems.\u00a0 Our objective is to inform our members of these potential price moves and to assist them in finding successful trading opportunities.\u00a0 We are alerting all of our followers of a potential move today, because we believe this move [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-134794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134794","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=134794"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134794\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":134795,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134794\/revisions\/134795"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=134794"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=134794"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=134794"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}