{"id":133681,"date":"2018-09-14T10:50:29","date_gmt":"2018-09-14T14:50:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=133681"},"modified":"2018-09-14T06:51:47","modified_gmt":"2018-09-14T10:51:47","slug":"au200-analysis-weaker-australian-data-bearish-for-au200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/09\/au200-analysis-weaker-australian-data-bearish-for-au200\/","title":{"rendered":"AU200 Analysis &#8211; Weaker Australian data bearish for AU200"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-487999663\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">September 14, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Weaker Australian data bearish for AU200<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Australia\u2019s exports declined while imports were steady in July. Will the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/market-data\/indices-prices\/au200\">AU200<\/a> continue declining?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Recent Australian economic data were weak on balance after the Reserve Bank of Australia September 4 meeting. The trade surplus narrowed to A$1.551 billion in July after A$1.937 billion in June due to 1% drop in exports while imports were unchanged. At the same time business confidence declined in August followed by consumer confidence decline in September, though they remained in positive territory. And expansion of activities in construction sector slowed in August. Weaker economic data are bearish for AU200.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/ifccd.net\/uploads\/image\/AU200_O_14Sept2018.png\" alt=\"AU200 \" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe the <b>AU200: D1<\/b> is retracing after pullback which followed the climb to 10-year high in mid-August. The price has approached to 200-day moving average MA(200) which has leveled off.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> gives a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> indicates no trend yet: it is flat.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator <\/a> gives a neutral signal: it is below the signal line but the gap is steady.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/stochastic\"> Stochastic oscillator <\/a> is rising but has not reached the overbought zone.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 6096.52. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the last fractal high at 6183.24. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (6183.24) without reaching the order (6096.52), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 6096.52<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 6183.24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-364180876\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Weaker Australian data bearish for AU200 Australia\u2019s exports declined while imports were steady in July. Will the AU200 continue declining? Recent Australian economic data were weak on balance after the Reserve Bank of Australia September 4 meeting. The trade surplus narrowed to A$1.551 billion in July after A$1.937 billion in June due to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-133681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133681"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133681\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":133695,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133681\/revisions\/133695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}