{"id":132622,"date":"2018-08-26T18:55:31","date_gmt":"2018-08-26T22:55:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=132622"},"modified":"2018-08-26T18:34:03","modified_gmt":"2018-08-26T22:34:03","slug":"stock-market-setting-up-for-a-bigger-pullback-part-i","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/08\/stock-market-setting-up-for-a-bigger-pullback-part-i\/","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market Setting Up for a Bigger Pullback – Part I"},"content":{"rendered":"
August 26, 2018<\/div>
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By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Our researchers at\u00a0Technical Traders Ltd.\u00a0have identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for.\u00a0 The recent strength in the markets has skewed many opinions toward the bullish perspective as the S&P, DOW, Transports and Nasdaq have all pushed towards new all-time highs.<\/p>\n

We are writing this research post to alert our followers that we believe the US Indices and major markets may be setting up for a moderately deep price pullback that could be in excess of 5% or more.<\/p>\n

Our proprietary price modeling systems and advanced learning models are warning us that the upside trend is likely still in place, yet there is a growing and stronger potential for a price pullback that could result in a 4~7% pullback in the near future. We want to alert all our followers that we believe an immediate price pullback is setting up and to protect your long positions.<\/p>\n

The continued rally in the US majors has allowed many traders to become overly comfortable to the potential for a major pullback.\u00a0 Much like what happened in February 2018, when a bigger pullback did happen, all of the sudden traders were screaming that a massive top had formed and that everyone should watch out for a further breakdown in price values.\u00a0 We are not saying that right now and we want to be clear \u2013 so please read the following statement very clearly\u2026<\/p>\n

We believe a 4~7% price pullback is setting up in the US markets that will likely extend into September 2018 before forming a new price bottom and prompting the markets to rally to new all-time highs before the end of 2018.\u00a0 We believe this price pullback\/rotation is healthy for the markets after such an extended rally and we believe many traders are discounting the potential for such a move and will surprise many traders.\u00a0 Protect your long positions and prepare for this type of price pullback.\u00a0 You will be able to re-enter your positions as the bottom sets up and a new rally begins.<\/p>

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Let\u2019s take a look at some of the charts that support our research.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll start with the SPY and highlight our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system.\u00a0 The recent Daily price rotation in the SPY has illustrated that price has reached the CYAN projected price point.\u00a0 This should be the first level of resistance that price encounters within the current rally.\u00a0 The lower BLUE projected price point is the current major support level.\u00a0 The fact that we are currently breaching the all-time high levels adds greater weight to the fact that resistance should be relatively strong near these highs and that we could see a major price rotation setting up near these levels.\u00a0 The downside Fibonacci price targets suggest a 2~5% price decline is possible given current price ranges.<\/p>\n

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This Weekly SPY chart highlights the key resistance level that is currently at play in the markets from the February 2018 highs.\u00a0 Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that prices could, and should, continue to rally to well above the current highs over time.\u00a0 Yet, the current Weekly downside price projection levels show a potential for price to move to 254.65 as the nearest key Fibonacci support level \u2013 and possibly even lower to near $224.\u00a0 Yes, this Weekly chart is indicating the SPY could fall -12% on a medium-term pullback or as far as -22% with a deeper pullback and still have the potential for new highs before the end of 2018.<\/p>\n

You might be asking, \u201chow could this happen and what would prompt this move?\u201d.\u00a0 We assume it would be some geopolitical or global economic mini-crisis that would prompt such a move, but it could be that investors simply rotate capital out of the US markets chasing opportunities in other foreign markets or debt instruments.\u00a0 The fundamentals for a continued US rally are still in place for at least 6+ months \u2013 we are just concerned that a moderately deeper pullback than many are expecting is right around the corner and about to hit the markets.\u00a0 We don\u2019t believe this pullback will be the start of a new bearish price trend.<\/p>\n

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If you want to learn more about our research, services and how we can help you find and execute better trades, then please visit\u00a0www.TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/a>\u00a0to learn about our team of researchers and products for traders.\u00a0 You can also review all of our past research posts to learn how we have been calling these market moves for the past 12+ months.\u00a0 We urge you to pay attention to our work because we believe we have some of the most advanced and accurate market timing tools on the planet.\u00a0 Time will tell if we are correct with Today\u2019s call \u2013 bet we want you to understand the risks and potential rewards that are presented right now in the markets.\u00a0 Take a minute to see how we can help you become a better trader as these moves play out over the next 12+ months.<\/p>\n

By TheTechnicalTraders.com<\/u><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By TheTechnicalTraders.com Our researchers at\u00a0Technical Traders Ltd.\u00a0have identified a potential in the markets that many people may have overlooked or are not prepared for.\u00a0 The recent strength in the markets has skewed many opinions toward the bullish perspective as the S&P, DOW, Transports and Nasdaq have all pushed towards new all-time highs. We are writing […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-132622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=132622"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132622\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":132623,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132622\/revisions\/132623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=132622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=132622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=132622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}