{"id":129926,"date":"2018-07-12T09:59:22","date_gmt":"2018-07-12T13:59:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.countingpips.com\/?p=129926"},"modified":"2018-07-12T07:01:14","modified_gmt":"2018-07-12T11:01:14","slug":"au200-stocks-analysis-trade-wars-may-reduce-demand-for-australian-raw-materials","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/07\/au200-stocks-analysis-trade-wars-may-reduce-demand-for-australian-raw-materials\/","title":{"rendered":"AU200 Stocks: Analysis &#8211; Trade wars may reduce demand for Australian raw materials"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-4136627363\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 12, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trade wars may reduce the demand for Australian raw materials<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/indices\/au200\">prices of the Australian stock index S&amp;P\/ ASX 200<\/a> fall amid the strengthening of the China-US trade war?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In the structure of Australia&#8217;s exports, mining products account for 32%. Fuel accounts for 28% and food products together with agricultural raw materials &#8211; 18.5%. China is the most important buyer. The limitation of the supply of Chinese goods to the US may reduce the demand for Australian raw materials. The plans of the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the discount rate may be additional negative factors for S &amp; P \/ ASX 200. Currently, it is at a historically low level of 1.5% with an annual inflation of 1.9%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/ifccd.net\/uploads\/image\/11-07-2018.png\" alt=\"AU200\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe, <b>AU200: D1<\/b> breached down the support line of the accelerated uptrend. The medium-term uptrend preserves, but the prices are correcting down from the high since December 2007. The decrease in demand for Australian raw materials in China may contribute to their further decline.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> gives a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/bolinger-bands\">Bollinger bands <\/a> have widened, which indicates high volatility.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator <\/a> is above 50. It has formed a negative divergence.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator<\/a> gives bearish signals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bearish momentum may develop in case <b>AU200<\/b> falls below its last fractal low at 6170. This level may serve as an entry point. The initial stop loss may be placed above the last fractal high, the Parabolic signal and the 10.5-year high at 6310. After opening the pending order, we shall move the stop to the next fractal high following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (6310) without reaching the order (6170), we recommend to close the position: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Summary of technical analysis<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 6170<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 6310<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-1879688344\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Trade wars may reduce the demand for Australian raw materials Will prices of the Australian stock index S&amp;P\/ ASX 200 fall amid the strengthening of the China-US trade war? In the structure of Australia&#8217;s exports, mining products account for 32%. Fuel accounts for 28% and food products together with agricultural raw materials &#8211; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-129926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=129926"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":129938,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129926\/revisions\/129938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=129926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=129926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=129926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}