{"id":126524,"date":"2018-05-11T09:22:52","date_gmt":"2018-05-11T13:22:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=126524"},"modified":"2018-06-01T15:39:48","modified_gmt":"2018-06-01T15:39:48","slug":"soybeans-higher-chinese-crop-forecast-bearish-for-soybeans-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/05\/soybeans-higher-chinese-crop-forecast-bearish-for-soybeans-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Soybeans: Higher Chinese crop forecast bearish for soybeans prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-1913746809\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">May 11, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Higher Chinese crop forecast bearish for soybeans prices<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Lower Chinese imports forecast while the crop is expected to increase is bearish for soybeans. Will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/market-data\/soyb\">soybean prices<\/a> continue the decline?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>China\u2019s Agriculture Ministry forecast country\u2019s soybean imports will fall for the first time in 15 years in 2018-19. The decline was estimated at 0.3% with imports amounting to 95.65 million tons. Higher prices as Beijing threatened to levy 25% retaliatory tariff on US soybeans after President Donald Trump ordered to prepare tariffs on imports from China were cited as a reason for lower demand. Meanwhile China&#8217;s own soybean production is forecast to grow, with 2018-19 output estimated to rise 4.9% percent to 15.27 million tons. Lower export demand and higher supply forecast is bearish for soybeans.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/ifccd.net\/uploads\/image\/SOYB_O_11May2018.png\" alt=\"Soybeans price\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe the <b>SOYB: D1 <\/b> has been trading sideways after hitting sixteen-month high in the beginning of March. It is testing the support line currently.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> is neutral: it is flat.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\">Parabolic indicator<\/a> has formed a sell signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/MACD\">MACD indicator <\/a> is below the signal line and the gap is widening, which is bearish.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/stochastic\"> stochastic oscillator <\/a> is rising from the oversold zone, this is a bullish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price closes below the support line and lower boundary of Donchian channel at 1011. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above last fractal high at 1065.8. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (1065.8) without reaching the order (1011), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 1011<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 1065.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p><div id=\"inves-478138976\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Higher Chinese crop forecast bearish for soybeans prices Lower Chinese imports forecast while the crop is expected to increase is bearish for soybeans. Will soybean prices continue the decline? China\u2019s Agriculture Ministry forecast country\u2019s soybean imports will fall for the first time in 15 years in 2018-19. The decline was estimated at 0.3% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-126524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126524"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":126541,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126524\/revisions\/126541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}