{"id":124965,"date":"2018-04-11T07:29:41","date_gmt":"2018-04-11T11:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=124965"},"modified":"2018-06-01T15:40:54","modified_gmt":"2018-06-01T15:40:54","slug":"eurusd-growth-slowed-down-around-the-135th-degree","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/04\/eurusd-growth-slowed-down-around-the-135th-degree\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: growth slowed down around the 135th degree"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2363338264\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 11, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong>Previous:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday the 10<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0of April, trading on the euro closed up. There was a surge in market volatility as Nowotny, a member of the ECB\u2019s governing council, gave a speech. He said in an\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-ecb-policy-nowotny\/ecb-can-lift-deposit-rate-to-get-hikes-rolling-nowotny-idUSKBN1HH1PL\">interview<\/a>\u00a0that the ECB will end its bond-buying program this year and that the regulator could increase the deposit rate from -0.4% to -0.2% before making any changes to the key rate. The euro jumped in response to this to reach 1.2378.<\/p>\n<p>The ECB, however,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/ecb-policy-nowotny\/ecb-distances-itself-from-nowotnys-policy-views-idUKF9N1O401Q\">distanced itself<\/a>\u00a0from Nowotny\u2019s comments, with a spokesman saying that \u201cGovernor Nowotny\u2019s views are his own. They do not represent the view of the Governing Council\u201d. On this development, the euro retreated to 1.2325.<\/p>\n<p>The EURUSD pair closed the day at 1.2355 on the back of an increased appetite for risk as well as a largely weakened dollar. Comments from Chinese president Xi Jinping eased investor fears over US-Chinese trade relations.<\/p>\n<p>Xi struck a conciliatory tone as he sought not to throw fuel on the trade dispute fire. He said that import tariffs may be reduced and that he would open China\u2019s economy further to foreign investors.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Day\u2019s news (GMT+3):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>11:30 UK: industrial production (Feb), manufacturing production (Feb), trade balance (Feb).<\/li>\n<li>14:00 UK: NIESR GDP estimate (Mar).<\/li>\n<li>15:30 USA: CPI (Mar).<\/li>\n<li>17:30 USA: EIA crude oil stocks change (6 Apr).<\/li>\n<li>21:00 USA: FOMC minutes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/data\/media\/cms\/images\/298_5acdb2ebafa27.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Fig 1. EURUSD hourly chart. Source: TradingView<\/p>\n<p>I was wrong in my prediction yesterday that the euro would drop to 1.2275. The bullish trend started on the 6<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0of April was given a boost by Nowotny. The rate then returned to 1.2325 before recovering to 1.2361 on the back of a broadly weakened dollar.<\/p>\n<p>Buyers were rebuffed at around the 135<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0degree. Taking the bearish divergence into account, as well as the fact that the FOMC is publishing its minutes this evening, I expect to see a rebound from the LB balance line. Given that the euro crosses are trading up, the bulls look set to reach a new high and form a double bearish divergence.<\/p>\n<p>At 14:00 (EET), Mario Draghi is set to speak. Given Nowotny\u2019s comments yesterday, we might see him expand on the subject of QE.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s another thing giving me cause for concern. The US is planning another strike in Syria under false pretenses. During a UN Security Council meeting, Russian permanent representative Vassily Nebenzia called on the West to avoid \u201chawkish rhetoric\u201d and stop these reckless efforts that put global security at risk. There are Russian servicemen in the area in question and any forceful actions there could have serious consequences. As the US often gets everyone else involved in its escapades, it\u2019s not clear how financial markets are going to react to this. Perhaps we should keep one eye on the dynamics of oil prices and safe haven assets.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Source:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/analytics\/reviews\/market_sessions\/25367_11042018\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EURUSD: growth slowed down around the 135th degree<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Tuesday the 10th\u00a0of April, trading on the euro closed up. There was a surge in market volatility as Nowotny, a member of the ECB\u2019s governing council, gave a speech. He said in an\u00a0interview\u00a0that the ECB will end its bond-buying program this year and that the regulator could increase the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-124965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=124965"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124965\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":124967,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124965\/revisions\/124967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=124965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=124965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=124965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}