{"id":120665,"date":"2018-01-31T07:35:50","date_gmt":"2018-01-31T12:35:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=120665"},"modified":"2018-06-01T15:43:47","modified_gmt":"2018-06-01T15:43:47","slug":"eurusd-dollar-declining-along-with-us10y","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2018\/01\/eurusd-dollar-declining-along-with-us10y\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: dollar declining along with US10Y"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-385135021\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">January 31, 2018<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong>Previous:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday the 31<sup>st<\/sup>\u00a0of January, trading on the euro\/dollar pair closed slightly up, leaving both a long wick and a long tail on the candlestick. The euro initially dropped to 1.2337 at the beginning of the European session. Prices then recovered from there to 1.2453 (+116 pips) on the back of declining US bond yields.<\/p>\n<p>After consumer confidence data for the US was published as well as US Finance Minister Mnuchin\u2019s comments, US 10Y bond yields hit a three-year high. Mnuchin said that a strong dollar was in the US\u2019s long-term interest. The dollar rose along behind US bond yields in response.<\/p>\n<p>US 10Y bond yields grew from 2.683% to 2.735%. The euro corrected from 1.2453 to 1.2384 (-69 pips).<\/p>\n<p>The US consumer confidence index came out at 125.4 (forecast: 123.1, previous reading revised from 122.1 to 123.1).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Day\u2019s news (GMT+3):<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"inves-1820206394\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>10:00 Switzerland: UBS consumption indicator (Dec).<\/li>\n<li>10:00 Germany: retail sales (Dec).<\/li>\n<li>10:45 France: CPI (Jan).<\/li>\n<li>11:55 Germany: unemployment change (Jan), unemployment rate (Jan).<\/li>\n<li>12:00 Switzerland: ZEW survey \u2013 expectations (Jan).<\/li>\n<li>13:00 Eurozone: CPI (Jan), unemployment rate (Dec).<\/li>\n<li>16:15 USA: ADP employment change (Jan).<\/li>\n<li>16:30 Canada: GDP (Nov), industrial product price (Dec).<\/li>\n<li>17:45 USA: Chicago PMI (Jan).<\/li>\n<li>18:00 USA: pending home sales (Dec).<\/li>\n<li>18:30 USA: EIA crude oil stocks change (26 Jan).<\/li>\n<li>22:00 USA: Fed interest rate decision and monetary policy statement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2018\/01\/eur_310118.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Fig 1. EURUSD hourly chart. Source: TradingView<\/p>\n<p>For the most part, my predictions for yesterday came true. The correction from 1.2494 completed the double top formation. As I was writing the review, buyers pushed the price up to the 45<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0degree at 1.2440. On the current hour, the resistance runs through 1.2450; the upper line of the downwards channel. This is made up from three values: L 1.2364, L 1.2337, and H 1.2464.<\/p>\n<p>Today, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve\u2019s meeting and their interest rate decision. According to the latest futures on interest rates, the likelihood of a rate hike today is 5.2%. There won\u2019t be a press conference following the meeting.<\/p>\n<p>There could be no reaction at all to the Fed\u2019s decision. I do think it possible, however, that buyers will push the price up a bit ahead of Friday\u2019s NFP report. Moreover, all the main euro crosses are trading up.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar is currently declining due to a drop in US 10Y bond yields. My forecast has our pair rising to 1.2450, before dropping to 1.2406 by the end of the day.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\">Source: &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/hidden_copyright\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">EURUSD: dollar declining along with US10Y<\/a>&#8220;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Wednesday the 31st\u00a0of January, trading on the euro\/dollar pair closed slightly up, leaving both a long wick and a long tail on the candlestick. The euro initially dropped to 1.2337 at the beginning of the European session. Prices then recovered from there to 1.2453 (+116 pips) on the back [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120665"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120665\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120667,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120665\/revisions\/120667"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}