{"id":115384,"date":"2017-10-25T10:22:38","date_gmt":"2017-10-25T14:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=115384"},"modified":"2018-06-01T15:55:26","modified_gmt":"2018-06-01T15:55:26","slug":"canada-holds-rate-and-will-be-cautious-in-future-changes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/10\/canada-holds-rate-and-will-be-cautious-in-future-changes\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada holds rate and will be cautious in future changes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-803748991\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">October 25, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Canada&#8217;s central bank left its benchmark target for the overnight rate at 1.0 percent, as expected, and while it said further monetary policy tightening will &#8220;likely be required over time, Governing Council will be cautious in making future adjustments to the policy rate.&#8221;<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The Bank of Canada (BOC) has raised its rate twice this year by a total of 50 basis points and remains the only other major central bank in the world to raise rates other than the U.S. Federal Reserve as central banks slowly unwind the ultra-easy policy in the wake of the global financial crises in 2008\/2009.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;The BOC&#8217;s rate hikes this year in July and September came in response to improving economic growth but the central bank said it would now be &#8220;guided by incoming data to assess the sensitivity of the economy to interest rates, the evolution of economic capacity, and the dynamics of both wage growth and inflation.&#8221;<br \/><a name='more'><\/a><br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"color: black; font-family: &quot;-webkit-standard&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 16.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;\">&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"color: black; font-family: -webkit-standard, serif;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;The Bank of Canada published the following statement:<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">&#8220;The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1\/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3\/4 per cent.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">Inflation has picked up in recent months, as anticipated in the Bank\u2019s July&nbsp;<i>Monetary Policy Report<\/i>&nbsp;(MPR), reflecting stronger economic activity and higher gasoline prices. Measures of core inflation have edged up, in line with a narrowing output gap and the diminishing effects of lower food prices. The Bank projects inflation will rise to 2 per cent in the second half of 2018. This is a little later than anticipated in July because of the recent strength in the Canadian dollar. The Bank is also mindful that global structural factors could be weighing on inflation in Canada and other advanced economies.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">The global and Canadian economies are progressing as outlined in the July MPR. Economic activity continues to strengthen and broaden across countries. The Bank still expects global growth to average around 3 1\/2 per cent over 2017-19. However, this outlook remains subject to substantial uncertainty about geopolitical developments and fiscal and trade policies, notably the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">Canada\u2019s economic growth in the second quarter was stronger than expected, and was more broad-based across regions and sectors. Growth is expected to moderate to a more sustainable pace in the second half of 2017 and remain close to potential over the next two years, with real GDP expanding at 3.1 per cent in 2017, 2.1 per cent in 2018 and 1.5 per cent in 2019. Exports and business investment are both expected to continue to make a solid contribution to GDP growth. However, projected export growth is slightly slower than before, in part because of a stronger Canadian dollar than assumed in July. Housing and consumption are forecast to slow in light of policy changes affecting housing markets and higher interest rates. Because of high debt levels, household spending is likely more sensitive to interest rates than in the past.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">The Bank estimates that the economy is operating close to its potential. However, wage and other data indicate that there is still slack in the labour market. This suggests that there could be room for more economic growth than the Bank is projecting without inflation rising materially above target.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;;\">Based on this outlook and the risks and uncertainties identified in today\u2019s MPR, Governing Council judges that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate. While less monetary policy stimulus will likely be required over time, Governing Council will be cautious in making future adjustments to the policy rate. In particular, the Bank will be guided by incoming data to assess the sensitivity of the economy to interest rates, the evolution of economic capacity, and the dynamics of both wage growth and inflation.&#8221;<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin-bottom: 7.5pt;\"><\/div>\n<p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:OfficeDocumentSettings>  <o:AllowPNG\/>  <o:PixelsPerInch>96<\/o:PixelsPerInch> <\/o:OfficeDocumentSettings><\/xml><![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument>  <w:View>Normal<\/w:View>  <w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom>  <w:TrackMoves\/>  <w:TrackFormatting\/>  <w:PunctuationKerning\/>  <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas\/>  <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false<\/w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>  <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false<\/w:IgnoreMixedContent>  <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false<\/w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>  <w:DoNotPromoteQF\/>  <w:LidThemeOther>EN-US<\/w:LidThemeOther>  <w:LidThemeAsian>X-NONE<\/w:LidThemeAsian>  <w:LidThemeComplexScript>X-NONE<\/w:LidThemeComplexScript>  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expected, and while it said further monetary policy tightening will &#8220;likely be required over time, Governing Council will be cautious in making future adjustments to the policy rate.&#8221;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The Bank of Canada (BOC) has [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-115384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115384"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115384\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":115385,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115384\/revisions\/115385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}