{"id":113106,"date":"2017-09-18T16:34:53","date_gmt":"2017-09-18T20:34:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=113106"},"modified":"2017-09-18T20:23:00","modified_gmt":"2017-09-19T00:23:00","slug":"azerbaijan-holds-rate-expects-no-change-to-stance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/09\/azerbaijan-holds-rate-expects-no-change-to-stance\/","title":{"rendered":"Azerbaijan holds rate, expects no change to stance"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3856029574\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">September 18, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\nAzerbaijan&#8217;s central bank kept its benchmark refinancing rate at 15.0 percent and said an analysis of short and medium-term risks to inflation implied there was no need for any significant correction to its monetary policy.<br \/>\nThe Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan (CBA), which has maintained its rate since raising it in September 2016, also said the current account showed a surplus of 2.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product in the first half of this year due to higher oil prices and this was helping maintain a balance in the foreign exchange market.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\"> \u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0The\u00a0<\/span>economy<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0of\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">Azerbaijan, which relies on oil and gas for 95 percent of its exports and 75 percent of government revenue, was hit hard by the fall of crude oil prices in 2014 and its currency, the manat, came under heavy pressure as residents switched into U.S. dollars.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Initially the CBA abandoned the manat&#8217;s peg to the\u00a0<\/span>dollar in favor of a dollar-euro basket and then in early 2015 it devalued the manat by one-third.\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px;\">\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">In December 2015 the CBA then shifted to a\u00a0<\/span>flexible<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0exchange rate regime and since then the manat has been more stable.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Today the manat was trading around 1.69 to the U.S. dollar, \u00a0up 6.5 percent this year, and the central bank said the decline of the\u00a0<\/span>dollar<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0this year was helping reduce inflation expectations and the stable exchange rate is helping further reduce the economy&#8217;s dollarization, with\u00a0<\/span>the<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0current level of interest rates also helping stimulate savings.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Azerbaijan&#8217;s\u00a0<\/span>inflation<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0rate was steady at 14.0\u00a0<\/span>percent<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0in August from July\u00a0<\/span>and<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0there were no significant\u00a0<\/span>changes<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0to\u00a0<\/span>inflation<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0<\/span>expectations, with\u00a0various products and prices still sensitive to\u00a0changes in government-regulated prices, the CBA said.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">Helped by a trade\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">surplus of US$1.9\u00a0billion in the January-August\u00a0period,\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">Azerbaijan&#8217;s strategic currency\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">reserves<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0rose by 11.5\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">percent, the CBA said, adding<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">\u00a0its expects the\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">balance of payments to remain in a surplus by the end of the year.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 In the country&#8217;s non-oil sector,\u00a0economic output was up 2.2 percent in the first 8 months of the year,\u00a0with tourism up 2.6\u00a0percent, non-oil industry up 4.6 percent, trade up 1.8\u00a0percent, and communications and\u00a0information up 4.9 percent.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 The CBA is currently using a flexible exchange rate regime but plans to\u00a0adopt a floating\u00a0exchange rage\u00a0regime along with an inflation targeting regime, with the monetary base a reliable guide to its monetary\u00a0policy stance.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\">www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"background-color: white;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By CentralBankNews.info Azerbaijan&#8217;s central bank kept its benchmark refinancing rate at 15.0 percent and said an analysis of short and medium-term risks to inflation implied there was no need for any significant correction to its monetary policy. The Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan (CBA), which has maintained its rate since raising it in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-113106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113106"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113106\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":113110,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113106\/revisions\/113110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}