{"id":110703,"date":"2017-08-11T00:47:12","date_gmt":"2017-08-11T04:47:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=110703"},"modified":"2017-08-11T07:58:30","modified_gmt":"2017-08-11T11:58:30","slug":"mozambique-cuts-new-rate-by-25-bps-on-easing-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/08\/mozambique-cuts-new-rate-by-25-bps-on-easing-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Mozambique cuts new rate by 25 bps on easing inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2963428721\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">August 11, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; Mozambique&#8217;s central bank cut its new benchmark monetary policy interest rate (MIMO) by 25 basis points to 21.50 percent, saying the continued decline in consumer prices reinforced its forecast that inflation would be lower by the end of this year amid higher food supply, moderate domestic demand, exchange rate stability and favorable commodity prices.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The Bank of Mozambique also lowered other key rates, such as the permanent liquidity facility rate, by 25 basis points to 22.50 percent and the permanent deposit facility by 25 points to 16.0 percent.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The central bank also cut the mandatory reserve ratio on local currency and foreign currency liabilities by 50 basis points to 15.0 percent starting from the new reporting period on Sept. 7.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Mozambique&#8217;s central bank introduced its new benchmark interest rate on April 15 and set it at &nbsp;21.75 percent. The same month the central bank cut its previous benchmark rate, the standing facility rate, by 50 basis points to 22.75 percent in the first change in rates since a 600 basis point rate hike in October 2016.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Mozambique&#8217;s inflation rate eased to 16.2 percent in July from 18.1 percent in June but the central bank said the risks to inflation remain high, especially from the fiscal side and this imposed a prudence in the conduct of monetary policy.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&#8220;The level of domestic public indebtedness remains high and represents a risk factor for inflation projections,&#8221; the central bank said, pointing to public revenues that are below expectations in the context of a suspension of external support to the budget and high domestic debt, which requires a more robust fiscal consolidation.<br \/><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">Mozambique&#8217;s economy has been hit by several severe blows in recent years, leading to a sharp&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">fall<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;in the exchange rate of its m<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">etical<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;currency.&nbsp;<\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;On top of a decline in global commodity&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">prices, including coal, the government&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">hid almost US$1.4 billion of debt, the equivalent of 10 percent of its Gross Domestic Product.&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">This led to&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">foreign donors, including the International Monetary Fund, to withdrew funding to the country.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; The metical hit record lows of around 78.5 to the U.S. dollar in October 2016 but has firmed since then, helped by central bank rate hikes and rising commodity prices.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; Today the&nbsp;metical&nbsp;was trading at 61 to the dollar, up 16.7 percent this year, as there are also signs of an improving economy.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white;\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;The economic climate index rose for the third consecutive month in June, reflecting increased&nbsp;<\/span>optimism<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;among businesses regarding&nbsp;<\/span>future<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;demand&nbsp;<\/span>and<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;employment. And while this backs up expectations for a recovery in the&nbsp;<\/span>economy<span style=\"font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;this year, output remains below potential, the bank said.<\/span><\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Last month the IMF&nbsp;forecast that Mozambique&#8217;s economy&nbsp;would grow by up to 4.7&nbsp;percent this year, up from 3.8&nbsp;percent in 2016, due to a surge in coal&nbsp;production and exports.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;In&nbsp;addition to&nbsp;welcoming the central bank&#8217;s introduction of a new monetary policy regime centered around its MIMO rate, the IMF said the October 2016 rate hike had helped push&nbsp;down&nbsp;inflation from a peak of 26&nbsp;percent in November 2016 despite a large rise in fuel prices in&nbsp;March, rebalanced the foreign exchange market and therefore&nbsp;<\/span>helped the metical appreciate by some 30 percent since September 2016.<br \/><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">Mozambique&#8217;s<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;international&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">reserves<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;rose to US$2.446 billion as of Aug. 9 from $2.290 billion in May, a level that is sufficient to cover 6.1 months of imports,&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white;\">excluding large<\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp;projects.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\"><br \/><\/span><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.centralbanknews.info\/\">www.CentralBankNews.info<\/a><\/span><br \/><span style=\"background-color: white; font-family: inherit;\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<table style=\"background-color: #f9faf5; color: black; font-family: times; width: 100%;\">\n<tbody><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By CentralBankNews.info &nbsp; &nbsp; Mozambique&#8217;s central bank cut its new benchmark monetary policy interest rate (MIMO) by 25 basis points to 21.50 percent, saying the continued decline in consumer prices reinforced its forecast that inflation would be lower by the end of this year amid higher food supply, moderate domestic demand, exchange rate stability and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-110703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110703"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110703\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":110704,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110703\/revisions\/110704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}