{"id":108847,"date":"2017-07-11T10:50:28","date_gmt":"2017-07-11T14:50:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=108847"},"modified":"2017-07-11T10:22:25","modified_gmt":"2017-07-11T14:22:25","slug":"lean-hogs-technical-analysis-hog-inventory-in-us-exceeded-the-50-year-maximum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/07\/lean-hogs-technical-analysis-hog-inventory-in-us-exceeded-the-50-year-maximum\/","title":{"rendered":"Lean Hogs: Technical Analysis &#8211; Hog inventory in US exceeded the 50-year maximum"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2915002374\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 11, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hog inventory in the US exceeded the 50-year maximum<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) noted in its quarterly report that the hog inventory in the country has reached the maximum level in more than 50 years. Will the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/trading-conditions\/commodities\/lhog\">hog prices<\/a> fall?<\/p>\n<p>In the second quarter of 2017, the hog inventory has increased by 3% compared to the last year\u2019s indicator for the same quarter and reached the maximum level since 1964 \u2013 71.65 million. This is slightly more than the market participants expected. The number of fattening pigs in the United States rose by 2% and amounted to 6.069 heads. The market supply of hogs for sale on June 1 of the current year was 65.581 million heads against 63.302 for the same date in 2016. At the same time, its value reached the annual maximum. Theoretically, the increase in the supply of hog may provoke a price correction.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/11-07-2017.png\" alt=\"lhog\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe, <b>LHog: D1<\/b> continues to be in a rising price channel, but its increase has slowed down. A downward correction towards the lower boundary of the channel is possible in case supply of meat exceeds demand.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Parabolic indicator<\/b> gives a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/bolinger-bands\">Bollinger bands<\/a> have narrowed, which indicates low volatility. They are titled downward.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/rsi\">RSI indicator<\/a> is below 50. It has formed a negative divergence.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\">MACD indicator <\/a> gives a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bearish momentum may develop in case <b>LHog<\/b> falls below the last fractal low at 81. This level may serve as an entry point. The initial stop-loss may be placed above the last fractal high, the Parabolic signal, the upper Bollinger band and the annual maximum at 88. After opening the pending order, we shall move the stop to the next fractal high following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the potential profit\/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level at 88 without reaching the order at 81 we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-985437575\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 81<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 88<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Hog inventory in the US exceeded the 50-year maximum The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) noted in its quarterly report that the hog inventory in the country has reached the maximum level in more than 50 years. Will the\u00a0hog prices fall? In the second quarter of 2017, the hog inventory has increased by [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-108847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108847"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108847\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":108852,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108847\/revisions\/108852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}