{"id":108791,"date":"2017-07-10T08:37:39","date_gmt":"2017-07-10T12:37:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=108791"},"modified":"2017-07-10T08:37:39","modified_gmt":"2017-07-10T12:37:39","slug":"eurusd-drop-to-the-trend-line-at-1-1380","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/07\/eurusd-drop-to-the-trend-line-at-1-1380\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: drop to the trend line at 1.1380"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2365396298\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">July 10, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong>Previous:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Friday the 7<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0of July, the euro closed down. Before the nonfarm payrolls report was released, the rate was trading within a range of 1.1407 \u2013 1.1427 (20 pips). There was high activity among speculators keeping an eye on the market as the jobs report was being released. First, the euro rate reacted with a 20-pip slide to 1.1384, followed by a 57-pip surge to 1.1440. The market underwent some sharp fluctuations in both directions in the 5 minutes to follow. Once market volatility had subsided, the euro fell to 1.1380.<\/p>\n<p>In June, the US created 222,000 new jobs outside the agricultural sector after a forecast of 170,000. The figure for April was revised from 174,000 to 207,000 and for May from 138,000 to 152,000. The aggregate revision for the two months comes to +47,000.<\/p>\n<p>The workforce participation rate grew from 62.7% to 62.8%. Unemployment rose slightly from 4.3% to 4.4% (forecast: 4.3%). The average hourly earnings index for the US in June grew by 0.2% (forecast: 0.3%, previous reading revised from 0.2% to 0.1%).<\/p>\n<p>The dollar\u2019s growth was initially held back by the weak growth in hourly earnings. As we can see from the session\u2019s end, traders were refusing to sell their dollars. The euro\/dollar rate closed at the 1.1400 mark. The dollar received some additional support from a growth in bond yields.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Day\u2019s news (GMT+3):<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"inves-489541282\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>09:00 Germany \u2013 trade balance (May);<\/li>\n<li>11:30 Eurozone: Sentix investor confidence (Jul);<\/li>\n<li>17:00 USA: labour market conditions index (Jun);<\/li>\n<li>22:00 USA: consumer credit change (May).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alpari.ru\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2017\/07\/eur_100717.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">EURUSD rate on the hourly. Source: TradingView.<\/p>\n<p>The euro rate has fallen to 1.1380 from its high of 1.1440. The LB line and the 45<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0degree acted as reasonably good supports. The price is currently consolidating around 1.1405.<\/p>\n<p>I haven\u2019t gone for a Monday vs Friday scenario for two reasons. Firstly, the price movements following the payrolls report were not unidirectional. Secondly, a triangle has formed. This suggests that Friday\u2019s movements will continue into today. I could be wrong, of course, but my ideal scenario today would be a slide for the euro to 1.1385\/80.<\/p>\n<p>A drop below 1.1380 would create a double top model on the hourly timeframe. There\u2019ll be further analysis of the monthly and weekly timeframes in today\u2019s trading idea.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\">Source: &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/analytics\/reviews\/market_sessions\/20486_10072017\/\">EURUSD: drop to the trend line at 1.1380<\/a>&#8220;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Friday the 7th\u00a0of July, the euro closed down. Before the nonfarm payrolls report was released, the rate was trading within a range of 1.1407 \u2013 1.1427 (20 pips). There was high activity among speculators keeping an eye on the market as the jobs report was being released. First, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-108791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108791"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108791\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":108792,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108791\/revisions\/108792"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}