{"id":108191,"date":"2017-06-28T07:05:43","date_gmt":"2017-06-28T11:05:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=108191"},"modified":"2017-06-28T06:42:45","modified_gmt":"2017-06-28T10:42:45","slug":"eurusd-the-rally-continues-in-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/06\/eurusd-the-rally-continues-in-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: the rally continues in Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-4157063741\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">June 28, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><strong>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"reviews-item__content\">\n<p><strong>Previous:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, the EURUSD instrument closed 156 pips up. Firstly, the euro rose across the market after Mario Draghi\u2019s speech at the ECB forum in Portugal. He painted the recovery of the European economy in a relatively positive light. He talked about the need to adjust some of the parameters of the bank\u2019s monetary policy, but clarified that this wouldn\u2019t amount to it being tightened.<\/p>\n<p>Next, the US dollar continued its slide as Janet Yellen, the Chair of the US Federal Reserve, gave a speech in London. She didn\u2019t say anything new. She repeated that interest rate hikes would be gradual and that the Fed would try to avoid destabilising markets. The president of the Philadelphia Fed, Patrick Harker, also spoke in London and also seems to favour just one more rate hike this year. As such, we can be fairly certain that we won\u2019t see interest rates go up again at least until September. The euro, as such, has decided to venture north.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Day\u2019s news (GMT+3):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list list_type_disc\">\n<li>09:00 Switzerland: UBS consumption indicator (May);<\/li>\n<li>11:00 Switzerland: ZEW survey \u2013 expectations (Jun);<\/li>\n<li>11:00 Eurozone: M3 money supply (May), private loans (May);<\/li>\n<li>15:30 USA: goods trade balance (May), wholesale inventories \u2013 prelim (May);<\/li>\n<li>16:30 Various: speeches from the governors of the Bank of Canada (Steven Poloz), Bank of England (Mark Carney), the Bank of Japan (Haruhiko Kuroda) and ECB president Mario Draghi;<\/li>\n<li>17:00 USA: pending home sales (May);<\/li>\n<li>17:30 USA: EIA crude oil stocks change (23 Jun);<\/li>\n<li>21:15 Canada: BoC deputy governor Lynn Patterson\u2019s speech.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.alpari.ru\/data\/media\/trunk\/images\/Analytics\/2017\/06\/eur_280617.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">EURUSD rate on the hourly. Source: TradingView.<\/p>\n<p>Intraday forecast: low: 1.1330 (22 degrees), high: 1.1384 (225 degrees), close: n\/a.<\/p><div id=\"inves-1545548637\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<p>Mario Draghi helped Euro bulls remove the protective stop levels on short positions at 1.1230, opening the way towards 1.13. After Janet Yellen\u2019s speech, the rate stood firmly above 1.13.<\/p>\n<p>The euro rate has restored to the U3 line and has been moving with it for the last 14 hours. The last time the euro reached this level was on the 16<sup>th<\/sup> of May this year. Before retreating to the balance line, the price could keep following the U3 line for the next 37 to 40 hours in the form of a sawtooth pattern (look at the price dynamics from the 16-19<sup>th<\/sup> of May).<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, the upper boundary of the channel was broken through on the daily timeframe. So that you understand, the channel is formed from three values: H \u2013 1.1264 (22\/05\/17), H \u2013 1.1285 (02\/06\/17), L \u2013 1.1119 (20\/06\/17). The upper boundary ran through 1.1320 yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>Judging by the fact that there hasn\u2019t been a rebound from the U3 line since it was reached; buyers have taken 1.1475 as the next target (extension of the channel line on the weekly timeframe). Buyers will meet some resistance on the way at 1.1442, which may stop them from advancing further. In any case, 1.1475 is the highest the euro can currently go.<\/p>\n<p>Based on current buyer activity, I\u2019m forecasting a rebound to the 22<sup>nd<\/sup> degree at 1.1329, followed by growth to the 225<sup>th<\/sup> degree at 1.1384. The price could exit upwards on yesterday\u2019s euphoria without rebounding.<\/p>\n<p>If, in the end, a rebound does begin during Europe\u2019s session, then we should take note of how the price behaves around 1.1329 and look at what might be forming on the 5-minute and 15-minutes timeframes. The rebound might turn out to be stronger and go as far as the 45<sup>th<\/sup> degree at 1.1303. In such a case, it\u2019s impossible to say exactly where the price will stop and a new rally will start.<\/p>\n<p>If traders start selling dollars across the market, and the EURGBP cross grows, we could see the EURUSD hit 1.1445 today.<\/p>\n<div class=\"s_invisible_yes\">Source: &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/alpari.com\/en\/analytics\/reviews\/market_sessions\/20301_28062017\/\">EURUSD: the rally continues in Asia<\/a>&#8220;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gabriel Ojimadu, Alpari Previous: On Tuesday, the EURUSD instrument closed 156 pips up. Firstly, the euro rose across the market after Mario Draghi\u2019s speech at the ECB forum in Portugal. He painted the recovery of the European economy in a relatively positive light. He talked about the need to adjust some of the parameters [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-108191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108191"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108191\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":108192,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108191\/revisions\/108192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}