{"id":104814,"date":"2017-04-14T06:33:11","date_gmt":"2017-04-14T10:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=104814"},"modified":"2017-04-14T06:33:11","modified_gmt":"2017-04-14T10:33:11","slug":"will-all-of-this-optimism-crash-the-stock-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/04\/will-all-of-this-optimism-crash-the-stock-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Will All Of This \u2018Optimism\u2019 Crash The Stock Markets?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-535983390\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">April 14, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p><em><strong>By\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2nM8S10\" target=\"_blank\">www.ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/1762-2\/\" rel=\"bookmark\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"post-image alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/sentiment-290x130.png\" alt=\"Will All Of This \u2018Optimism\u2019 Crash The Stock Markets?\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>Currently, the short-term trend for the SPX is <strong><em>NEUTRAL<\/em><\/strong>. The <strong><em>intermediate and long term trends <\/em><\/strong>are still very <strong><em>BULLISH! \u00a0<\/em><\/strong>There is<strong><em> No <\/em><\/strong>trend, in the market, at this time. It is neither overbought or oversold.<\/p>\n<p>The SPX is in a \u2018<strong><em>Non-Trending\u2019<\/em><\/strong> market.\u00a0 I expect this next retracement will be completed by the end of April 2017.\u00a0I plan on taking advantage of this summer\u2019s rally.<\/p>\n<p>I am anxiously watching the 50-day moving average, for the next direction, as to whether they are about to roll over. This moving average is one of the most-watched technical indicators for institutional firms and helps shift <em>market psychology<\/em>. \u00a0I am still looking for much higher highs in the stock market throughout 2017.<\/p>\n<p>As I have mentioned, in my previous reports, I am expecting a pullback\/consolidation in the equity markets.<\/p>\n<p>I am expecting gold to cross $1300.00\/oz. and silver to cross $19.00\/oz. by the end of April.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, I am expecting a <strong><em>\u201cbuy-in-May\u201d<\/em><\/strong> event in 2017.\u00a0\u00a0 This could begin our rally with the SPX reaching into the 2500 area during the summer.<\/p>\n<p>This market is <strong><em>Not<\/em><\/strong> bearish, so I would suggest that you not trade against this very strong BULLISH UPTREND.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>The Importance of Sentiment!\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The markets direction is driven by \u201cmarket sentiment\u201d or \u201csocial mood.\u201d\u00a0 Forget about \u201clogic\u201d when it comes to the markets.\u00a0 This is the reason why so many were looking the <em>wrong way <\/em>when Trump won the election.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMarket sentiment\u201d in equities clearly suggested that we were heading higher in early November of 2016, regardless of who won the election.<\/p>\n<p>Social experiments which were conducted, over the last 30 years, have proven this to be real, despite the general public\u2019s belief to the contrary.<\/p>\n<p>Market bottoms and tops typically occur when sentiment reaches an extreme. For instance, when Wall Street is <strong><em>\u201ceuphoric\u201d,<\/em><\/strong> after a sustained rally, it suggests buying power is exhausted. When there is an exceptionally high number of bears, after a sustained downturn, a bottom will be close at hand.<\/p>\n<p>The Consumer Confidence Index <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/data\/consumerconfidence.cfm\">reached its\u2019 highest level<\/a> since December 2000, helped by American\u2019s perceptions about business conditions and the job market. Business sentiment is also high. The National Federation of Independent Business, which represents small businesses, says optimism is at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfib.com\/surveys\/small-business-economic-trends\/\">one of its\u2019 highest levels<\/a> in more than four decades, based, in part, on expectations of forthcoming positive developments in Washington, D.C.\u00a0 The National Association of Home Builders says <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nahb.org\/en\/news-and-publications\/press-releases\/2017\/03\/builder-confidence-hits-twelve-year-high.aspx\">builder sentiment rose in March<\/a> to its\u2019 highest level since June 2005.<\/p>\n<h2><strong><em>Conclusion:<\/em><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Presently, there is fear in the marketplace.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1763\" src=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/sentiment.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 615px) 100vw, 615px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/sentiment-300x107.png 300w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/sentiment.png 615w\" alt=\"sentiment\" width=\"615\" height=\"220\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>If you do not have a set of rules for trading, then this will definitely help you TIME your trades.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em><u>Patience Pays Off Using MRM \u2013 Momentum Reversal Method !<\/u><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>One of the key tenants of my Momentum Reversal trading is \u201cwaiting for the right trigger\/event and getting in early\u201d. I find this is one of the most difficult aspects for most traders to understand and to master.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Recent Trading Results Include:<\/em><em><br \/>\nUGAZ 74%<br \/>\nERX 7.7%<br \/>\nNUGT 112%<br \/>\nURA 2.7%<br \/>\nSCO 7.4%<\/em><\/p>\n<p>I currently have four active trades which I anticipate will take off with the next market swing!<\/p>\n<p>Get Trade Alerts in Real-Time at: <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2nM8S10\" target=\"_blank\">www.ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0www.ActiveTradingPartners.com Currently, the short-term trend for the SPX is NEUTRAL. The intermediate and long term trends are still very BULLISH! \u00a0There is No trend, in the market, at this time. It is neither overbought or oversold. The SPX is in a \u2018Non-Trending\u2019 market.\u00a0 I expect this next retracement will be completed by the end of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104814"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104814\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":104815,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104814\/revisions\/104815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}