{"id":103160,"date":"2017-03-10T10:31:40","date_gmt":"2017-03-10T15:31:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=103160"},"modified":"2017-03-10T06:33:17","modified_gmt":"2017-03-10T11:33:17","slug":"two-hot-commodities-on-the-brink-of-implosion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/03\/two-hot-commodities-on-the-brink-of-implosion\/","title":{"rendered":"Two Hot \u201cCommodities\u201d on the Brink of Implosion"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2379798235\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">March 10, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/WallStreetDaily.com\/\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-home-th size-home-th wp-post-image\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both;\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/0317_snapchatcharts_feature.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/0317_snapchatcharts_feature.jpg 580w, https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/0317_snapchatcharts_feature-300x155.jpg 300w\" alt=\"Two Hot &quot;Commodities&quot; on the Brink of Implosion\" width=\"580\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p>For most people, Friday is just the day before the weekend.<\/p>\n<p>But in the <em>Wall Street Daily <\/em>Nation, it\u2019s the day we ditch the long-winded analysis and let some graphics talk for us.<\/p>\n<p>This week, I\u2019m serving up a limbo edition. I\u2019m going to profile just how low <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2017\/02\/10\/amazon-online-bookseller-turned-retail-monster\/\"><strong>Snap Inc.\u2019s (SNAP) newborn stock<\/strong><\/a> can go. (I warned you!)<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m also revealing the world\u2019s best performing currency for the past two years. Is it time for me to eat crow for predicting its ultimate demise nearly four years ago? Hardly!<\/p>\n<p>Read on to find out why\u2026<\/p><div id=\"inves-3298525216\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"subhead\">How Low Can SNAP Go?<\/h2>\n<p>That didn\u2019t take long!<\/p>\n<p>In a matter of days, the euphoria over the biggest U.S. technology IPO since Facebook\u2019s (FB) $16 billion offering in 2012 turned into outright fear.<\/p>\n<p>All the clich\u00e9d \u201cSnap, Crackle, <em>Pop\u201d<\/em> headlines were instantly supplanted by \u201cSnap, Crackle, <em>Drop\u201d<\/em> headlines.<\/p>\n<p>Why? Because, as we predicted, shares of the new public social media company, Snap Inc. (SNAP), tripped and fell. Hard.<\/p>\n<p class=\"centered\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"centered aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapdrop_chart3.png\" alt=\"Performance since IPO\" width=\"540\" height=\"341\" \/><\/p>\n<p>After surging 73%, to a high of $29.44, in the second day of trading, the stock is officially in a bear market now. Shares dropped as much as 27.6% from the all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>Mind you, investors who were afraid of missing out \u2014 and piled into the stock at the peak \u2014 have once again become Wall Street\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2015\/06\/18\/fitbit-ipo-overvalued\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>bag holders<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Two observations here:<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. The wheels are falling off this IPO bus faster than normal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As you can see in the chart below, the typical hot tech IPO begins its descent to reality 38 days after going public. And the selling doesn\u2019t relent for 117 days, on average. Snap decided to break down in just three days. Not a good sign.<\/p>\n<p class=\"centered\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"centered aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/ipoflops_chart.png\" alt=\"Composite performance of 20 largest U.S. IPOs\" width=\"540\" height=\"407\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>2. It\u2019s only going to get worse <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Consider:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>As of Wednesday, speculators could officially begin selling short the stock. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-03-03\/snap-skeptics-may-drive-1-billion-of-short-sales-within-a-week\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Bloomberg<\/strong><\/a> estimates that up to $1 billion worth of stock will be sold short.<\/li>\n<li>Options become available today.<\/li>\n<li>Not a single sell-side analyst issued a buy rating on shares. In an uncharacteristic brew of <em>negative <\/em>groupthink, all eight have slapped a sell or hold rating on the stock. (In case you didn\u2019t know, hold is a euphemism for sell on Wall Street.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Combined, these factors promise to intensify the selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Look out below! And look to buy some cheap put options to profit from the descent.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead\">How Low Can Bitcoin Go?<\/h2>\n<p>Unlike many stubborn analysts, I have no problem admitting when I\u2019m wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Long ago, I predicted the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2013\/05\/20\/investing-in-bitcoins\/\"><strong>demise of cryptocurrency bitcoin<\/strong><\/a>. Didn\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<p>After flirting with death in 2014, Bitcoin staged a mighty comeback. In fact, it ended up being the best performing currency in both 2015 and 2016.<\/p>\n<p>It even crossed an eye-catching and interesting \u2014 but nonetheless arbitrary \u2014 threshold. It reached parity with a single ounce of the barbarous relic, gold.<\/p>\n<p>But before you rush out to stockpile bitcoins, be wary. It could turn into a Hotel California investment.<\/p>\n<p>In a matter of minutes on Tuesday, bitcoin plunged more than $100 on news leaks that China\u2019s three largest Bitcoin exchanges will keep blocking withdrawals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"centered\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"centered aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wallstreetdailywebsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/bitcoinrisefall_chart.png\" alt=\"Historical price of Bitcoin in U.S. dollars\" width=\"540\" height=\"349\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There could be more negative pressure coming next week if the SEC doesn\u2019t approve one of the three proposed Bitcoin-focused ETFs by the March 11 deadline. That\u2019s tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p>So I was wrong about Bitcoin. But that doesn\u2019t mean the time is suddenly right to pile into the enigmatic cryptocurrency. Not yet, unless you enjoy taking undue risk.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<br \/>\nInvetment Director, <i>Wall Street Daily<\/i><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\/2017\/03\/10\/two-hot-commodities-brink-implosion\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Two Hot \u201cCommodities\u201d on the Brink of Implosion<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wallstreetdaily.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com For most people, Friday is just the day before the weekend. But in the Wall Street Daily Nation, it\u2019s the day we ditch the long-winded analysis and let some graphics talk for us. This week, I\u2019m serving up a limbo edition. I\u2019m going to profile just how low Snap Inc.\u2019s (SNAP) newborn stock [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103160"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103160\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103165,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103160\/revisions\/103165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}