{"id":102825,"date":"2017-03-03T06:16:46","date_gmt":"2017-03-03T11:16:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=102825"},"modified":"2017-03-03T06:16:46","modified_gmt":"2017-03-03T11:16:46","slug":"eurusd-forex-technical-analysis-expected-fed-tightening-is-bearish-for-euro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/03\/eurusd-forex-technical-analysis-expected-fed-tightening-is-bearish-for-euro\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD: Forex Technical Analysis &#8211; Expected Fed tightening is bearish for euro"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-3720446202\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">March 3, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Expected Fed tightening is bearish for euro<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike in March is bearish for euro. Will the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en market-data\/forex-prices\/eurusd\">euro<\/a> continue the slide against the greenback?<\/p>\n<p>Raised expectations of a 0.25 percentage point rate hike at mid-March Federal Reserve meeting together with positive US economic data recently have contributed to added dollar strength against major currencies. And Trump\u2019s promise of \u201cmassive\u201d tax cuts for middle class Americans and the pledge to push for $1 trillion dollar infrastructure spending programs also bolstered US economic growth outlook, boosting dollar further. In comparison, euro-zone economies also are on track for continued recovery, activities in the euro-zone\u2019s manufacturing sector expanded in February, though at a slower rate than previously estimated: Manufacturing PMI in euro-zone rose to 55.4 compared with a preliminary estimate of 55.5, Markit reported Wednesday. And German inflation hit 2.2% in February, the highest in more than 4 years. At the same time heightened political uncertainty weighs on euro with results of French presidential elections potentially capable of producing a surprise win for Marine Le Penne, the leader of the French National Front, who has vowed to hold a referendum on leaving the European Union and euro-zone within months of her election. Next major economic data are due on March 7 when EU\u2019s statistics agency Eurostat reports third reading of fourth quarter euro-zone GDP , and the German statistics department Destatis reports January factory orders. Positive surprises will be bullish for euro.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"float: none;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/uploads\/images\/EURUSD_R03Mar2017.png\" alt=\"EURUSD\" width=\"660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"emailSummary\">On the daily timeframe <b> EUR\/USD <\/b> has been trading with a negative bias after hitting a 2-month high in end of January. The price is falling after reflecting off the 50-day moving average MA(50).<\/p>\n<ul class=\"emailSummary\">\n<li>The <b>Donchian channel <\/b> is flat, indicating no trend yet.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/macd\"> MACD indicator <\/a> gives a bearish signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/parabolic\">Parabolic indicator<\/a> gives a buy signal.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/en\/ntx-indicators\/stochastic\"> stochastic oscillator <\/a> is falling toward the oversold zone but has not reached it yet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price closes below the lower Donchian boundary at 1.0493, confirmed also by last fractal low. It can be used as an entry point for a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the last fractal high at 1.06295. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit\/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (1.06295) without reaching the order (1.0493) we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.<\/p><div id=\"inves-992360061\" class=\"inves-in-content inves-entity-placement\"><hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads_header\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size:10px; float:left; color:#666;\">Free Reports:<\/p><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"inpost_ads\"> \r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/graph_techs_PD.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t     <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/1ApBOV\"><b><u>Get Our Free Metatrader 4 Indicators<\/u><\/b><\/a> - Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter<\/p><br><br>\r\n<br>\r\n<br>\r\n<p style=\"font-size:15px; float:left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/investmacro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/cot_pie_80.png\" align=\"left\" width=\"80\"  height=\"55\"\/><\/a>\r\n\t    <a href=\"https:\/\/goo.gl\/f3RrHX\"><b><u>Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports<\/u><\/b><\/a> - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.<\/p><br><br>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<hr style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd;\">\r\n<br><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"emailSummary\" style=\"margin-top: 15px !important;\">Technical Analysis Summary<\/h2>\n<table style=\"border: solid 1px black;\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Position<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Sell<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Sell stop<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Below 1.0493<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><b>Stop loss<\/b><\/td>\n<td align=\"left\" valign=\"top\">Above 1.06295<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Market Analysis provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifcmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">IFCMarkets<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By IFCMarkets Expected Fed tightening is bearish for euro Higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike in March is bearish for euro. Will the euro continue the slide against the greenback? Raised expectations of a 0.25 percentage point rate hike at mid-March Federal Reserve meeting together with positive US economic data recently have contributed to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102825"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102825\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":102829,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102825\/revisions\/102829"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}