{"id":101814,"date":"2017-02-06T18:47:58","date_gmt":"2017-02-06T23:47:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/?p=101814"},"modified":"2017-02-06T18:47:58","modified_gmt":"2017-02-06T23:47:58","slug":"a-non-existent-economic-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/2017\/02\/a-non-existent-economic-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"A Non-Existent Economic Recovery!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"inves-2931474333\" class=\"inves-below-title-posts inves-entity-placement\"><div id =\"posts_date_custom\"><div align=\"left\">February 6, 2017<\/div><hr style=\"border: none; border-bottom: 3px solid black;\">\r\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><em><strong>By\u00a0Chris Vermeulen, Co-Author: John Winston &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2kLXf7n\" target=\"_blank\">www.ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2-290x130.png\" width=\"290\" height=\"130\" \/>Where is this economic boom that Former President Obama and his administration had taken so much credit for?<\/p>\n<p>The Obama Administration, with the assistance of the Federal Reserve and Company, deliberately kept the U.S. economy from creating any growth at all.\u00a0 The money that flowed from the Federal Reserve, over the last 8 years, had a direct <em>pipeline <\/em>that flowed only into Wall Street Investment Banks. The American people were sold this <strong><em>false bill of sale<\/em><\/strong> that \u201cQuantitative Easing\u201d was going to make lending money to \u201cMain Street America\u201d easier to access. They promised that there would be a boost in hiring which would, in turn, increase aggregate demand and thereby reflect a newly stimulated economic growth!<\/p>\n<p>This QE effectively down-sized the middle class into <em>minority status<\/em>.\u00a0 The largest growth has occurred within the<em> low-income <\/em>category.\u00a0 Despite the stock market reaching near all-time highs and real estate bubbling over once again, there are now <strong>45 million Americans<\/strong> on food stamps.\u00a0 This number is at an all-time high.\u00a0 People are feeling poorer today than ever, and with sky rocketing real-estate prices those who do not own a home cannot afford to buy anymore!<\/p>\n<p>This massive disconnect is expanding exponentially. The velocity of money is the number of times that currency is turned over to purchase domestically- produced goods and services. \u00a0One can see, as in the chart below, that the velocity of money has been steadily decreasing. \u00a0There are less transactions occurring by individuals in our economy.\u00a0 One can see that the money never reached \u201cMain Street America\u201d which is why there has not been any demand for goods and services.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-1633\" src=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 669px) 100vw, 669px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred-300x116.jpg 300w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred-768x296.jpg 768w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred.jpg 952w\" alt=\"fred\" width=\"669\" height=\"258\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The average American is now barley scraping by and many do a lot of their shopping at dollar stores. Most the growth in the job market is in low wage jobs which have zero benefits! The clear majority of Americans have bought into the <em>propaganda<\/em> promoted by the controlled media outlets.<\/p>\n<p>The masses bought into this propaganda as Wall Streets\u2019 big banks kept artificially inflating the equity markets with<em> free<\/em> and <em>cheap<\/em> money, which was at the expense of U.S. taxpayers.<\/p>\n<p>The Obama Machinery put on a stellar performance for the American people, however, this was a fictitious story. In fact, the real number, as of January 2017, of unemployed Americans currently stands at 22.9%: (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.shadowstats.com\/alternate_data\/unemployment-charts\">http:\/\/www.shadowstats.com\/alternate_data\/unemployment-charts<\/a>). The big gains have been largely allocated to the well-connected financial sector.<\/p>\n<p>Corporations took advantage of low interest rates to buy back stock in their own companies. Since 2008, corporate stock buybacks have surpassed $2.2 trillion. These buy backs have only increased the price of corporate stocks and made their companies appear more valuable than they are. This means that stock prices are far above what they would be if it were not for extremely low interest rates. \u00a0The politicians believed that it was more important to create a <em>false front<\/em> and to continue the <em>illusion<\/em> so that they would remain in power.<\/p>\n<p>The Tax Foundation reports that 60% of the population now receives more in government benefits than what they pay in taxes. What does this say about a society in which more than half of the population are living at the expense of the other half? \u00a0Currently, what is even worse is that the <em>dependent class<\/em> is steadily growing. The 60% will soon become 70%.<\/p>\n<p>Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, recently stated that \u201cmore people have a stake in the welfare state than in free enterprise. This is a road that Hayek perfectly described as the road to serfdom\u201d: (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Road_to_Serfdom\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Road_to_Serfdom<\/a>). (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/blogs\/freeexchange\/2014\/03\/keynes-and-hayek\">http:\/\/www.economist.com\/blogs\/freeexchange\/2014\/03\/keynes-and-hayek<\/a>). (<a href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/library\/road-serfdom-0\">https:\/\/mises.org\/library\/road-serfdom-0<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Hayek stated that \u201cCapitalism is the only system of economics compatible with human dignity, prosperity, and liberty. To the extent, we move away from that system, we empower the worst people in society to manage what they do not understand\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>On March 23<sup>rd<\/sup>, 2009, the then Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner sent the stock markets soaring. He announced a plan to help banks unload illiquid securities of uncertain worth from its\u2019 balance sheets. The Wall Street headlines read \u201cToxic-Asset Plan Sends Stocks Soaring\u201d. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke implemented <em>\u201cfinancial engineering<\/em>\u201d (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Financial_engineering\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Financial_engineering<\/a>) \u00a0as the sole solution to all our financial problems.<\/p>\n<p>He was publicly opposed to the nationalization (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nationalization\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nationalization<\/a>) of banks and said \u201cthe bookkeeping problems of many banks are largely an artifact of foolish federal regulations. Capital standards, accounting rules and other regulations have made the financial sector excessively procyclical.\u201d\u00a0 As we are presently realizing, government control over the financial markets and the economy have failed us.\u00a0 What we needed was the Federal Government to focus on job creation and to restructure our economy for new and future growth.<\/p>\n<p>They were laser focused on merely bailing out Wall Streets\u2019 big banks.\u00a0 In my view, the Federal Government should only be focused on its\u2019 constitutional responsibilities. Keeping the free markets out of their control and protection and serving the American people should be their primary goal.<\/p>\n<p>They needed to allow deflation to play out its\u2019 <em>cyclical role<\/em>. However, it turned out worse as they attempted to control it. Federal Government <em>bailouts<\/em> resulted in <em>financial enslavement<\/em>. \u00a0There was further <em>unequal<\/em> distribution of wealth in our society. Today, in 2017, I clearly see the implosion of America, as we once lived and knew it to be.<\/p>\n<p>The economy was being run on non-to low growth policies intentionally.\u00a0 President Obama deliberately took the path of doing absolutely nothing.\u00a0 He did not want to be accountable for any economic growth most likely because a stock market crash would ensue. That would have placed pressure on wages that would cause inflation at which time the Federal Reserve would be forced to raise interest rates.\u00a0 If this had occurred, all the free money which Wall Street investment banks received would not have been invested in the equity markets.<\/p>\n<p>The GDP Annual Growth Rate in the United States merely expanded by 1.90% in the fourth quarter of 2016, over the same quarter of the previous year. A record low of -4.10% was reported in the second quarter of 2009.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-1632\" src=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2-300x139.png 300w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2-768x357.png 768w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2-1024x476.png 1024w, http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fred2.png 1142w\" alt=\"fred2\" width=\"630\" height=\"293\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>They purchased their own shares back which sent stocks higher into <em>unchartered territory<\/em>. The way that they played the <em>game <\/em>was to keep inflation at bay and allow us to wallow in a deflationary contracting economy. \u00a0As stock prices rallied upwards, the corporate executives continued to receive heavy compensation on cheap cash being provided to them.\u00a0 In the term that Chairwoman Yellen resides over, she has only increased interest rates twice by a mere marginal 25 basis points.\u00a0 This was an immaterial rate hike so as the Federal Reserve could maintain their credibility. Increasing interest rates would have killed this game of \u201ccheap money\u201d which kept the wealth flowing into the top 1 percent.\u00a0 The Federal Reserves\u2019 decision to not raise interest rates during their last meeting (<a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2017\/02\/01\/news\/economy\/federal-reserve-january-meeting\/index.html\">http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2017\/02\/01\/news\/economy\/federal-reserve-january-meeting\/index.html<\/a>) \u00a0sends a clear and powerful message that they do not want to go down the path of normalization (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.discovery.org\/a\/23721\">http:\/\/www.discovery.org\/a\/23721<\/a>) . They want to continue to artificially suppress interest rates. If they had attempted to \u201cnormalize\u201d, it would create massive assets and derivative bubbles bursting domestically and globally. Either the bubble will burst or we will return to inflation.<\/p>\n<p>President Trump wants to create the growth which former President Obama never accomplished. He is proposing tax cuts, introducing fiscal stimulus and removing all the red tape that has been so costly for small businesses to implement. \u00a0He has also promised to lift GDP to 4% by spending $1 trillion to rebuild America\u2019s infrastructure.\u00a0 This will <em>overheat<\/em> the economy! \u00a0Trying to implement his plans will call for deep cutbacks in Medicare and Social Security. \u00a0It will take years to forge ahead with legislative approval.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Conclusion:<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Where is this economic recovery that supposedly happened?\u00a0 \u00a0It exists in the stock market at present as the masses are enduring a poorer quality of life!<\/p>\n<p>Our subscribers are currently in a swing trade with NUGT (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.etf.com\/NUGT\">http:\/\/www.etf.com\/NUGT<\/a>) \u00a0which is up 95.8% currently and we are expecting further gains going into this week. All the trades are based on our Momentum Reversal Method (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.activetradingpartners.com\/\">MRM<\/a>) trading system.\u00a0The strength of the precious metals will continue to drive gains for our NUGT position. \u00a0Expect some very interesting and exciting new trades this week. \u00a0We are getting ready for some very explosive moves.<\/p>\n<p>Chris Vermeulen<br \/>\nCo-Author: John Winston<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2kLXf7n\" target=\"_blank\">www.ActiveTradingPartners.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By\u00a0Chris Vermeulen, Co-Author: John Winston &#8211;\u00a0www.ActiveTradingPartners.com Where is this economic boom that Former President Obama and his administration had taken so much credit for? The Obama Administration, with the assistance of the Federal Reserve and Company, deliberately kept the U.S. economy from creating any growth at all.\u00a0 The money that flowed from the Federal Reserve, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-101814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","no-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101814"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101814\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101815,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101814\/revisions\/101815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}