By IFCMarkets
Lower crop forecast bullish for orange price
Orange juice is trading near a fourteen-month high after a surge following coronavirus outbreak. Demand for orange juice increased as many consumers consider its nutrients and high vitamin C content boost human immune system. And recent Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service ( NASS ) May crop forecast projects a decrease in oranges and grapefruit production. The USDA predicted Florida Orange production at 69.7 million boxes, down 1 percent from the April forecast. According to NASS, this will be 3 percent less than last season’s revised final production if realized. Lower supply estimates are bullish orange price. On the other hand, a reversal to old consumption habits as coronavirus infection concerns subside is a downside risk for orange price.
| Indicator | VALUE | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | Neutral | |
| MACD | Neutral | |
| Donchian Channel | Neutral | |
| MA(200) | Buy | |
| Fractals | Buy | |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
Summary of technical analysis
| Order | Buy |
| Buy stop | Above 119.95 |
| Stop loss | Below 110.21 |
Market Analysis provided by IFCMarkets