US 10-Year Treasury Note Speculators raise bearish bets for 3rd week in COT Report

October 19, 2014

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note




Large Speculator 10 year note positions push lower last week to lowest level since May

10 Year Treasuries: Large futures speculators sharply increased their overall bearish positions last week for a third straight week and pushed positions to the most bearish level since May, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of the 10-year treasury notes, primarily traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -123,168 contracts in the data reported for October 14th. This was a weekly change of -30,839 net contracts from the previous week’s total of -92,329 net contracts that was recorded on October 7th.

For the week, the standing long positions in 10-year futures increased by 16,133 contracts but were offset by the short positions which rose by 46,972 contracts to register the overall net change of -30,839 contracts on the week.


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10-year note speculative positions are now at the most bearish position since May 6th when positions equaled -129,409 contracts.

Over the weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday October 7th to Tuesday October 14th, the yield on the 10-Year treasury note fell strongly from 2.36 percent to 2.21 percent, according to data from the United States Treasury Department.

 

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Non-Commercial Positions

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Net Large Specs Weekly Change 10 Year Yield
09/09/2014 2757225 440215 473482 -33267 49391 2.50
09/16/2014 2659350 443518 450317 -6799 26468 2.60
09/23/2014 2649936 460039 451195 8844 15643 2.54
09/30/2014 2731029 449878 462383 -12505 -21349 2.52
10/07/2014 2708628 403809 496138 -92329 -79824 2.36
10/14/2014 2801826 419942 543110 -123168 -30839 2.21



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).




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