Crude Oil Speculators see gain for first time since June in COT Report

October 26, 2014

By CountingPips.com – Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Crude Oil Report

Oil Speculators overall long positions see first uptick since June

CRUDE OIL: Futures market traders and large speculators slightly increased their overall bullish bets in crude oil futures last week after bets had fallen for sixteen straight weeks, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial contracts of crude oil futures, traded by large speculators, traders and hedge funds, edged up to a total net position of +280,101 contracts in the data reported for October 21st. This was a change of +1,321 contracts from the previous week’s total of +278,780 net contracts for the data reported through October 14th.

For the week, standing non-commercial long positions in oil futures decreased by a total of -11,276 contracts but were offset by a decrease in the short positions that fell by -12,597 contracts to total the overall weekly net change of +1,321 contracts.

The non-commercial trader’s net position had dropped every week since June 24th 2014 to the lowest level in over a year before last week’s slight uptick.

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday October 14th to Tuesday October 21st, the WTI crude oil price edged higher from $81.84 to $82.49 per barrel, according to Nymex futures price data from investing.com. Brent crude prices, meanwhile, also rose from $85.41 to $86.22 per barrel from Tuesday October 14th to Tuesday October 21st, according to price data from investing.com.


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Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Non-Commercial Positions

Date Open Interest Long Specs Short Specs Net Non-Commercials Weekly Change Oil Price Brent Price
09/16/2014 1528614 434417 137136 297281 -2701 93.81 99.05
09/23/2014 1480629 423239 127187 296052 -1229 91.56 96.85
09/30/2014 1485856 426689 130743 295946 -106 91.16 94.67
10/07/2014 1503764 435642 141959 293683 -2263 88.85 92.11
10/14/2014 1537452 441625 162845 278780 -14903 81.84 85.41
10/21/2014 1459981 430349 150248 280101 1321 82.49 86.22

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

Article by CountingPips.comForex Trading News

 

 

 

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