Forex Speculators US Dollar bets edge up, Euro bets fall to lowest level since Feb

May 25, 2014

By CountingPips.com

cot report currency us dollar index speculators

The latest data for the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and speculators slightly added to their US dollar bullish bets last week and raised bets in favor of the dollar for a second week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $4.67 billion as of Tuesday May 20th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of +$0.16 billion from the $4.51 billion total long position that was registered on May 13th, according to Reuters that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The US dollar is on the net bullish side for a second straight week after spending four weeks in bearish territory. The aggregate USD position resides at the highest level since March 11th when total bullish contracts equaled +$10.56 billion.

Overall for the week against the other major currencies, speculators bet in favor of the British pound sterling, Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the Mexican peso last week while there were weekly declines for the euro, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc and the New Zealand dollar.

 

cot-standings

Notable changes:


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  • Euro positions fell for a 2nd straight week to the lowest overall level since February
  • British pound sterling positions rebounded slightly after four weeks of decline
  • Yen positions continued to improve and marked their lowest bearish level of the year
  • Australian dollar net long positions are at the highest level in over a year (April 30, 2013)
  • Mexican peso positions have jumped to the highest levels since June 2013

 

* All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro. Please see charts and data below.




Weekly Charts: Large Speculators Weekly Positions vs Currency Spot Price

EuroFX:

eurofx

Last Six Weeks data for EuroFX futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/201427072210625278564276884388
04/22/20142662591012047543025774-1914
04/29/20142715151022857655125734-40
05/06/201427701311067378122325516817
05/13/20142681428438386558-2175-34726
05/20/20142681997501384233-9220-7045



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks data for Pound Sterling futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/20142266888747236874505984121
04/22/2014237055896924189247800-2798
04/29/2014236030859134167944234-3566
05/06/2014241264837944314840646-3588
05/13/2014230333711683941331755-8891
05/20/20142376378000946919330901335



Japanese Yen:

jpy

Last Six Weeks data for Yen Futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/20141648431435183067-6871618746
04/22/20141656741656483807-672431473
04/29/20141688201384684198-70352-3109
05/06/20141670932038181109-607289624
05/13/20141647071747182178-64707-3979
05/20/20141648191868172468-5378710920



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks data for Franc futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/201448976239059839140662731
04/22/20144688821732770914023-43
04/29/20144742421960825713703-320
05/06/201455538251021191813184-519
05/13/20144528216951101456806-6378
05/20/20144880317387123685019-1787



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks data for Canadian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/20141195252828863714-35426-1119
04/22/20141187072752962984-35455-29
04/29/20141235893009360388-302955160
05/06/20141222872804459644-31600-1305
05/13/20141216322698653023-260375563
05/20/20141212682650053034-26534-497



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks data for Australian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/201498933404633236680974787
04/22/20141076964954033170163708273
04/29/2014109934500193931310706-5664
05/06/201410493644805361688637-2069
05/13/20141073025014733020171278490
05/20/20141076135013030668194622335



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks data for New Zealand dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/2014331002667168241984781
04/22/20143257926056588120175328
04/29/20142985822979449918480-1695
05/06/201433025250274334206932213
05/13/20143093223806446619340-1353
05/20/20143055622486489217594-1746



Mexican Peso:

mxn

Last Six Weeks data for Mexican Peso futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
04/15/2014131412710381680154237-2264
04/22/2014128932683291481853511-726
04/29/2014128100680731845549618-3893
05/06/2014146455676631977947884-1734
05/13/201414920986137175156862220738
05/20/20141547959273015464772668644



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.




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