{"id":50470,"date":"2014-05-05T02:33:37","date_gmt":"2014-05-05T06:33:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=50470"},"modified":"2014-05-05T02:33:37","modified_gmt":"2014-05-05T06:33:37","slug":"monetary-policy-week-in-review-apr-28-may-2-2014-2-central-banks-cut-but-news-reinforces-hawkish-trend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2014\/05\/05\/monetary-policy-week-in-review-apr-28-may-2-2014-2-central-banks-cut-but-news-reinforces-hawkish-trend\/","title":{"rendered":"Monetary Policy Week in Review \u2013 Apr 28-May 2, 2014: 2 central banks cut, but news reinforces hawkish trend"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iP0FNb\"><u>CentralBankNews.info<\/u><\/a><br \/>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; The central banks of Hungary and Azerbaijan cut interest rates last week but the trend toward tighter global monetary policy was reinforced by positive economic news and a growing sense of the need for major central banks to pull back from ultra-easy policy.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; The shift in tone was most glaring in the euro zone where news of a tick-up in April inflation to 0.7 percent from 0.5 percent reduced the chances of the European Central Bank embarking on extraordinary measures, a surprisingly sharp turnaround from the previous week when it seemed almost certain that the ECB would spring into action to fend off the threat of deflation.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; In the United States, a surprisingly strong jobs report that included a drop in the April unemployment rate to 6.3 percent, immediately caused traders to advance their rate rise expectations by six weeks to June 2015.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; And in the U.K. there were fresh warnings by two members of the Bank of England\u2019s monetary policy committee of the risk of rising property prices and the risk of raising rates too late, illustrating just how the public debate has shifted toward the timing of a rate rise and away from the need to keep policy accommodative to boost the sluggish economy.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; And even in Japan, where any policy tightening is far off in the horizon, the confirmation that members of the Bank of Japan\u2019s policy board in their latest outlook forecast rising inflation led to a decline in the chances of additional monetary easing this year.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; The Bank of Albania, which has maintained its rate since February after slashing it by 250 basis points since October 2011, summed up the positive mood, describing 2014 as a possible \u201cturning point for economic activity.\u201d<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp;<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; <b>Through the first 18 weeks <\/b>of this year, central banks have now raised and cut their policy rates by the same number of times, a sign that the days of easier monetary policy are behind us but the trend toward tighter policy is still in its infancy.<br \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; Rates have now been raised 17 times and cut 17 times by the 90 central banks followed by Central Bank News.<\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: inherit\"><b><span>&nbsp; &nbsp;LIST OF LAST WEEK\u2019S CENTRAL BANK DECISIONS<\/span><\/b><b>:<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/S1IcoR\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Israel holds rate, sees economy accelerating in Q1<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1m2didb\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Mauritius holds rate, majority think tightening premature<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1j9WqNU\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Egypt sees limited inflation risks due to weak economy<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kgelAz\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Angola maintains rate as inflation continues to fall<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kiUGjt\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Hungary signals next move to depend on data<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1mZx3iq\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">BOJ maintains target for expanding monetary base<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iIFG0P\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Kenya holds rate as stance credible despite inflation rise<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/R0EZ8j\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Fed trims QE by $10 bln, rate low for considerable time<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/Sby50N\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Azerbaijan cuts rate by 50 bps on low inflation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1nJFhxS\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Albania holds rate, sees 2014 as economic turning point<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1rJpRqU\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Uzbekistan holds refinancing rate at 10%<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1iL6usf\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Uganda holds rate, inflation seen close to target<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1icarWJ\" style=\"font-family: inherit\">Malawi holds rate, sees inflation down to 16% end-year<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\">&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<b>TABLE WITH LAST WEEK\u2019S MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:<\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\">         <\/div>\n<table border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: 535px\"><!--StartFragment--> <\/p>\n<col style=\"width: 179pt\" width=\"179\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\"><\/col>\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl63\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt;width: 179pt\" width=\"179\">COUNTRY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\">MSCI<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; NEW RATE&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; OLD RATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1 YEAR AGO<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">ISRAEL<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">DM&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">0.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">0.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">1.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">ANGOLA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">9.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">9.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">10.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">EGYPT&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">8.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">8.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">9.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">MAURITIUS<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.65%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.65%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.90%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">HUNGARY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.60%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">UNITED STATES<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">DM&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">0.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">0.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">0.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">JAPAN<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">DM&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; N\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">ALBANIA&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">3.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">KENYA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">8.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">8.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">9.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">AZERBAIJAN<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.75%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">4.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">UZBEKISTAN<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">10.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">10.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">12.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">UGANDA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">11.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">11.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">12.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">MALAWI<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">25.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">25.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">25.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana\"><span>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span>&nbsp; &nbsp; This week<\/span><\/b><span> (Week 19) 15 central banks will be deciding on monetary policy, including Australia, Romania, Poland, the Czech Republic, Georgia, the Euro Area, Serbia, the United Kingdom, Norway, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Peru, Zambia and South Korea.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><span><span>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span>In addition, on May 6 the OECD releases its latest economic outlook in Paris.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><b><span>TABLE WITH THIS WEEK\u2019S MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:<\/span><\/b><span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\">         <\/div>\n<table border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"border-collapse: collapse;width: 535px\"><!--StartFragment--> <\/p>\n<col style=\"width: 179pt\" width=\"179\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\"><\/col>\n<col style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\"><\/col>\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl63\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt;width: 179pt\" width=\"179\">COUNTRY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 41pt\" width=\"41\">MSCI<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 95pt\" width=\"95\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; DATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 101pt\" width=\"101\">&nbsp;CURRENT&nbsp;   RATE<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl63\" style=\"width: 119pt\" width=\"119\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1 YEAR AGO<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">AUSTRALIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl64\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl69\">6-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl65\">2.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">ROMANIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">6-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">POLAND<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">7-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">2.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">CZECH REPUBLIC<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">7-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.05%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.05%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">GEORGIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">7-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">EURO AREA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.25%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">SERBIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">FM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">11.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">UNITED KINGDOM<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">0.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">NORWAY<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">DM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">1.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">1.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">PHILIPPINES<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">MALAYSIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">3.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl64\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">INDONESIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">7.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">5.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">PERU<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">8-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">4.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">ZAMBIA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">9-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">12.00%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">9.25%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 20.0pt\">\n<td class=\"xl66\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 20.0pt\">SOUTH KOREA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\">EM<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl68\">9-May<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">2.50%<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\" class=\"xl67\">2.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<p><!--EndFragment--><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div class=\"MsoNormal\"><\/div>\n<p><!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   0  0  1  365  2087  PNCN  17  4  2448  14.0     &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;   Normal  0          false  false  false    EN-US  JA  X-NONE                                                                       &lt;![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    &lt;![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 10]&gt; \/* Style Definitions *\/ table.MsoNormalTable  {mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\";  mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0;  mso-tstyle-colband-size:0;  mso-style-noshow:yes;  mso-style-priority:99;  mso-style-parent:\"\";  mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;  mso-para-margin:0in;  mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt;  mso-pagination:widow-orphan;  font-size:12.0pt;  font-family:Cambria;  mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;  mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; 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