{"id":48392,"date":"2014-03-12T05:35:45","date_gmt":"2014-03-12T09:35:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/countingpips.com\/forex-news\/?p=48392"},"modified":"2014-03-12T05:35:45","modified_gmt":"2014-03-12T09:35:45","slug":"investment-firm-smashes-record-notches-99-92-win-rate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2014\/03\/12\/investment-firm-smashes-record-notches-99-92-win-rate\/","title":{"rendered":"Investment Firm Smashes Record, Notches 99.92% Win Rate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1hbBJOa\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"Investment Firm Smashes Record\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Prepare to be stupefied&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Over the course of 1,238 trading days &#8211; from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2013 &#8211; Virtu Financial had <em><b>one <\/b><\/em>day in which it lost money. One!<\/p>\n<p>Let that sink in for a moment&#8230; 1,237 days of profits and only one day of losses.<\/p>\n<p>And we thought <strong>J.P. Morgan&#8217;s<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1ic0vjX\">JPM<\/a>) stretch of 365 days of trading without a loss was impressive?<\/p>\n<p>I assure you, this isn&#8217;t the stuff of Bernie Madoff. It&#8217;s not a statistical anomaly. It&#8217;s the stuff of high frequency trading (HFT). And it&#8217;s totally legit.<\/p>\n<p>Today, I want to share two ways you can get a piece of the action. So let&#8217;s get to it&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Believe the Hype<\/strong><b><\/b><\/p>\n<p>On Monday, New York City-based Virtu Financial filed <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1kca9D4\" target=\"_blank\">IPO plans<\/a> with the SEC to raise up to $100 million. Although no date has been set yet, it plans to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker VIRT.<\/p>\n<p>And it&#8217;s in the IPO prospectus where we find this mind-blowing chart, showing the company&#8217;s daily net trading income.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1hbBH94\" width=\"500\" height=\"642\" \/><br \/>\nYou&#8217;ll note, there was only one day, during 2012, when the firm lost money. Every other day, Virtu pocketed anywhere from $500,000 to upwards of $5 million in profit.<\/p>\n<p>Such a hefty daily haul explains the $624 million in &#8220;trading income&#8221; the company reported last year, as well as the founder&#8217;s $114 million NYC mansion.<\/p>\n<p>So how does the company do it?<\/p>\n<p>Per the S-1: &#8220;We stand ready, at any time, to buy or sell a broad range of securities, and we generate revenue by buying and selling large volumes of securities and other financial instruments and earning small bid\/ask spreads.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>To be clear, the company doesn&#8217;t speculate. Instead, its strategies are &#8220;designed to lock in returns through precise and nearly instantaneous hedging.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It simply provides liquidity, scalping pennies on billions of market orders, which clearly add up over time.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the most shocking revelation in the S-1: &#8220;If our risk management system detects a trading strategy generating revenues outside of our preset limits, it will freeze, or &#8216;lockdown,&#8217; that strategy and alert risk management personnel and management.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In other words, if the company is making too much money in a particular market, it shuts down trading, just to be safe. Don&#8217;t we all wish we had that problem?<\/p>\n<p><strong>If You Can&#8217;t Beat &#8216;Em&#8230;<\/strong><b><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Virtu&#8217;s runaway success reveals something we&#8217;ve known for a long time: Markets aren&#8217;t even close to being efficient. If they were, Virtu couldn&#8217;t survive &#8211; let alone thrive.<\/p>\n<p>Despite what you&#8217;ve been told to the contrary, even the most liquid and widely traded securities aren&#8217;t efficient.<\/p>\n<p>Case in point: On March 3, the bid-ask spread on the <strong>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF<\/strong> (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1ic0vk1\">SPY<\/a>) became inverted for 500 milliseconds, according to Cristian Zarcu of TradeDynamiX.<\/p>\n<p>That means the bid price was above the ask price for half a second. Not by a little bit, either. At one point, the spread reached as high as $0.09 ($184.24 versus $184.15).<\/p>\n<p>In a world where HFTs like Virtu can trade inefficiencies down to the millisecond, this represented a free lunch.<\/p>\n<p>And if this is going on in an ETF that sees the heaviest trading, rest assured, it&#8217;s going on elsewhere in the market, too.<\/p>\n<p>So how can we compete against the &#8220;can&#8217;t lose&#8221; profit machines that are HFTs? We have two options:<\/p>\n<p>We can either concede defeat and invest right alongside them by buying into Virtu&#8217;s IPO. (Yes, I&#8217;ll let you know when the stock begins trading.)<\/p>\n<p>Or we can go where HFTs can&#8217;t &#8211; micro caps.<\/p>\n<p>As my friend and fellow micro-cap specialist, Ian Cassel, points out, they represent the last <em>inefficient<\/em> market cap class where individual investors like us hold a distinct advantage.<\/p>\n<p>How so? Well, Wall Street analysts routinely ignore micro caps. In fact, over 40% of companies with market caps of less than $300 million have <em>no<\/em> analyst coverage. That allows us to uncover meaningful information first &#8211; before it&#8217;s reflected in share prices.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1hbBH98\" width=\"500\" height=\"374\" \/><br \/>\nAt the same time, daily trading volume in micro caps is way too infrequent for HFTs to even bother.<\/p>\n<p>Bottom line: Although we can&#8217;t duplicate the exact trading successes of companies like Virtu, we can generate more than enough profits in micro caps to make it worthwhile.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the tape,<\/p>\n<p>Louis Basenese<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1hbBJOe\">Investment Firm Smashes Record, Notches 99.92% Win Rate<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/wCCKdg\">Wall Street Daily<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Article By <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1dy17jo\"><u>WallStreetDaily.com<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Original Article: <a href=\"http:\/\/ift.tt\/1hbBJOe\">Investment Firm Smashes Record, Notches 99.92% Win Rate<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By WallStreetDaily.com Prepare to be stupefied&#8230; Over the course of 1,238 trading days &#8211; from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2013 &#8211; Virtu Financial had one day in which it lost money. One! Let that sink in for a moment&#8230; 1,237 days of profits and only one day of losses. And we thought J.P. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/2014\/03\/12\/investment-firm-smashes-record-notches-99-92-win-rate\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Investment Firm Smashes Record, Notches 99.92% Win Rate&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48392","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48392"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48392\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48392"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48392"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmacro.com\/forex-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48392"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}